Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces trial in New York federal court on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, weapons trafficking, and related charges stemming from a 2020 US indictment superseding in 2026, but traders price an 88.5% chance he will not be found guilty on all counts. Following his January not guilty plea and a March 26 hearing where the judge rejected defense motions to dismiss over legal funding disputes, the case remains in pre-trial phase with his next appearance set for June 30. A late April ruling granted Maduro and wife Cilia Flores—also charged and pleading not guilty—access to Venezuelan assets for defense, bolstering their strategy amid the narcoterrorism statute's historically limited conviction rates and potential cooperating witnesses like a former general. This procedural progress underscores evidentiary hurdles to a clean sweep conviction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$102,578 KL.
$102,578 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
$102,578 KL.
$102,578 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces trial in New York federal court on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, weapons trafficking, and related charges stemming from a 2020 US indictment superseding in 2026, but traders price an 88.5% chance he will not be found guilty on all counts. Following his January not guilty plea and a March 26 hearing where the judge rejected defense motions to dismiss over legal funding disputes, the case remains in pre-trial phase with his next appearance set for June 30. A late April ruling granted Maduro and wife Cilia Flores—also charged and pleading not guilty—access to Venezuelan assets for defense, bolstering their strategy amid the narcoterrorism statute's historically limited conviction rates and potential cooperating witnesses like a former general. This procedural progress underscores evidentiary hurdles to a clean sweep conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$102,578Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces trial in New York federal court on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, weapons trafficking, and related charges stemming from a 2020 US indictment superseding in 2026, but traders price an 88.5% chance he will not be found guilty on all counts. Following his January not guilty plea and a March 26 hearing where the judge rejected defense motions to dismiss over legal funding disputes, the case remains in pre-trial phase with his next appearance set for June 30. A late April ruling granted Maduro and wife Cilia Flores—also charged and pleading not guilty—access to Venezuelan assets for defense, bolstering their strategy amid the narcoterrorism statute's historically limited conviction rates and potential cooperating witnesses like a former general. This procedural progress underscores evidentiary hurdles to a clean sweep conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$102,578Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro faces trial in New York federal court on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, weapons trafficking, and related charges stemming from a 2020 US indictment superseding in 2026, but traders price an 88.5% chance he will not be found guilty on all counts. Following his January not guilty plea and a March 26 hearing where the judge rejected defense motions to dismiss over legal funding disputes, the case remains in pre-trial phase with his next appearance set for June 30. A late April ruling granted Maduro and wife Cilia Flores—also charged and pleading not guilty—access to Venezuelan assets for defense, bolstering their strategy amid the narcoterrorism statute's historically limited conviction rates and potential cooperating witnesses like a former general. This procedural progress underscores evidentiary hurdles to a clean sweep conviction.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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