Brazil's Senate maintains strict procedural thresholds for impeaching STF justices, typically requiring a qualified majority and often initiation by the Prosecutor-General following a formal complaint. Recent attempts, including a 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes on standing rules and a April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against Justices Mendes, Toffoli, and Moraes tied to the Banco Master inquiry, produced backlash and partial reversals without advancing to removal. No STF justice has ever been successfully impeached, reflecting durable legislative shields and the absence of the broad congressional consensus needed before the 2027 cutoff. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because upcoming October 2026 Senate elections leave limited time for any shift in majority to overcome these barriers. A major corruption revelation or post-election realignment could still alter the trajectory within the window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4% khả năng
$83,296 KL.
$83,296 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$83,296 KL.
$83,296 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate maintains strict procedural thresholds for impeaching STF justices, typically requiring a qualified majority and often initiation by the Prosecutor-General following a formal complaint. Recent attempts, including a 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes on standing rules and a April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against Justices Mendes, Toffoli, and Moraes tied to the Banco Master inquiry, produced backlash and partial reversals without advancing to removal. No STF justice has ever been successfully impeached, reflecting durable legislative shields and the absence of the broad congressional consensus needed before the 2027 cutoff. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because upcoming October 2026 Senate elections leave limited time for any shift in majority to overcome these barriers. A major corruption revelation or post-election realignment could still alter the trajectory within the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$83,296Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate maintains strict procedural thresholds for impeaching STF justices, typically requiring a qualified majority and often initiation by the Prosecutor-General following a formal complaint. Recent attempts, including a 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes on standing rules and a April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against Justices Mendes, Toffoli, and Moraes tied to the Banco Master inquiry, produced backlash and partial reversals without advancing to removal. No STF justice has ever been successfully impeached, reflecting durable legislative shields and the absence of the broad congressional consensus needed before the 2027 cutoff. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because upcoming October 2026 Senate elections leave limited time for any shift in majority to overcome these barriers. A major corruption revelation or post-election realignment could still alter the trajectory within the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$83,296Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate maintains strict procedural thresholds for impeaching STF justices, typically requiring a qualified majority and often initiation by the Prosecutor-General following a formal complaint. Recent attempts, including a 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes on standing rules and a April 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against Justices Mendes, Toffoli, and Moraes tied to the Banco Master inquiry, produced backlash and partial reversals without advancing to removal. No STF justice has ever been successfully impeached, reflecting durable legislative shields and the absence of the broad congressional consensus needed before the 2027 cutoff. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because upcoming October 2026 Senate elections leave limited time for any shift in majority to overcome these barriers. A major corruption revelation or post-election realignment could still alter the trajectory within the window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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