Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for any Brazil STF justice facing impeachment removal before 2027, driven by ironclad procedural barriers and zero historical precedent despite escalating tensions. Justice Gilmar Mendes' late-2025 ruling mandates that only the Attorney General—currently aligned with President Lula's administration—can initiate proceedings, stalling over 80 Senate petitions mostly targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Recent catalysts, including de Moraes' May 9 suspension of Congress's sentencing law benefiting January 8 convicts like Bolsonaro, spurred new opposition filings and a 57% public poll favoring impeachment, yet Senate CCJ debates remain adjourned without momentum for the required two-thirds conviction vote. Only extraordinary AG action or scandals could alter this trajectory before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$68,415 KL.
$68,415 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$68,415 KL.
$68,415 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for any Brazil STF justice facing impeachment removal before 2027, driven by ironclad procedural barriers and zero historical precedent despite escalating tensions. Justice Gilmar Mendes' late-2025 ruling mandates that only the Attorney General—currently aligned with President Lula's administration—can initiate proceedings, stalling over 80 Senate petitions mostly targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Recent catalysts, including de Moraes' May 9 suspension of Congress's sentencing law benefiting January 8 convicts like Bolsonaro, spurred new opposition filings and a 57% public poll favoring impeachment, yet Senate CCJ debates remain adjourned without momentum for the required two-thirds conviction vote. Only extraordinary AG action or scandals could alter this trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$68,415Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for any Brazil STF justice facing impeachment removal before 2027, driven by ironclad procedural barriers and zero historical precedent despite escalating tensions. Justice Gilmar Mendes' late-2025 ruling mandates that only the Attorney General—currently aligned with President Lula's administration—can initiate proceedings, stalling over 80 Senate petitions mostly targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Recent catalysts, including de Moraes' May 9 suspension of Congress's sentencing law benefiting January 8 convicts like Bolsonaro, spurred new opposition filings and a 57% public poll favoring impeachment, yet Senate CCJ debates remain adjourned without momentum for the required two-thirds conviction vote. Only extraordinary AG action or scandals could alter this trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$68,415Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for any Brazil STF justice facing impeachment removal before 2027, driven by ironclad procedural barriers and zero historical precedent despite escalating tensions. Justice Gilmar Mendes' late-2025 ruling mandates that only the Attorney General—currently aligned with President Lula's administration—can initiate proceedings, stalling over 80 Senate petitions mostly targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Recent catalysts, including de Moraes' May 9 suspension of Congress's sentencing law benefiting January 8 convicts like Bolsonaro, spurred new opposition filings and a 57% public poll favoring impeachment, yet Senate CCJ debates remain adjourned without momentum for the required two-thirds conviction vote. Only extraordinary AG action or scandals could alter this trajectory before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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