**Recent congressional mandates and partial DOJ disclosures have driven the high probability traders assign to no new charges stemming from post-2025 Epstein file releases.** The Epstein Files Transparency Act, enacted in November 2025, required the Justice Department to release investigative records by December 2025, with subsequent batches exceeding three million pages released in early 2026 alongside videos and images. However, millions of documents remain withheld or redacted, prompting bipartisan criticism, lawsuits, and a coalition of state attorneys general in October 2026 to push for the follow-on Epstein Files Transparency Act II to enforce compliance. No federal or state indictments have been announced that prosecutors or officials have directly attributed to newly public information from these releases; prior cases, such as Ghislaine Maxwell’s conviction, predate the mandated disclosures. With the market resolution window extending through December 2026 and no evident prosecutorial follow-through on the released materials, traders view the absence of qualifying charges as the most probable outcome.