Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation in recent months, telling the Wall Street Journal in an August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in late June triggered brief market movement. Sources close to the justice previously indicated he plans to serve at least through the 2026–2027 term and into 2027, while hiring clerks accordingly. Traders weigh these statements against strategic retirement incentives during a Republican administration, historical patterns among justices near age 80, and any potential White House discussions, though no confirmed announcements or procedural steps have materialized. The next Supreme Court term and any further public comments could influence near-term probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$3,450,759 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
2%
December 31
6%
June 30, 2027
36%
$3,450,759 KL.
September 30
$988,495 KL.
2%
December 31
$813,355 KL.
6%
June 30, 2027
$47,245 KL.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation in recent months, telling the Wall Street Journal in an August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in late June triggered brief market movement. Sources close to the justice previously indicated he plans to serve at least through the 2026–2027 term and into 2027, while hiring clerks accordingly. Traders weigh these statements against strategic retirement incentives during a Republican administration, historical patterns among justices near age 80, and any potential White House discussions, though no confirmed announcements or procedural steps have materialized. The next Supreme Court term and any further public comments could influence near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,450,759Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation in recent months, telling the Wall Street Journal in an August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in late June triggered brief market movement. Sources close to the justice previously indicated he plans to serve at least through the 2026–2027 term and into 2027, while hiring clerks accordingly. Traders weigh these statements against strategic retirement incentives during a Republican administration, historical patterns among justices near age 80, and any potential White House discussions, though no confirmed announcements or procedural steps have materialized. The next Supreme Court term and any further public comments could influence near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Khối lượng
$3,450,759Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Samuel Alito, 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation in recent months, telling the Wall Street Journal in an August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in late June triggered brief market movement. Sources close to the justice previously indicated he plans to serve at least through the 2026–2027 term and into 2027, while hiring clerks accordingly. Traders weigh these statements against strategic retirement incentives during a Republican administration, historical patterns among justices near age 80, and any potential White House discussions, though no confirmed announcements or procedural steps have materialized. The next Supreme Court term and any further public comments could influence near-term probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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