Justice Samuel Alito has repeatedly signaled plans to continue serving, most recently stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in June triggered brief speculation. At 76, the justice has hired clerks for the October 2026 term that runs through mid-2027, and no retirement announcement has occurred despite earlier 2026 rumors tied to White House pressure on senior conservatives and Senate dynamics ahead of midterms. Traders weigh these public statements and procedural patterns against historical precedents where justices time exits around favorable political conditions, with any shift likely requiring new health, institutional, or confirmation-related developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$3,479,754 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
2%
December 31
6%
June 30, 2027
35%
$3,479,754 KL.
September 30
$1,014,464 KL.
2%
December 31
$816,340 KL.
6%
June 30, 2027
$47,286 KL.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito has repeatedly signaled plans to continue serving, most recently stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in June triggered brief speculation. At 76, the justice has hired clerks for the October 2026 term that runs through mid-2027, and no retirement announcement has occurred despite earlier 2026 rumors tied to White House pressure on senior conservatives and Senate dynamics ahead of midterms. Traders weigh these public statements and procedural patterns against historical precedents where justices time exits around favorable political conditions, with any shift likely requiring new health, institutional, or confirmation-related developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,479,754Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito has repeatedly signaled plans to continue serving, most recently stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in June triggered brief speculation. At 76, the justice has hired clerks for the October 2026 term that runs through mid-2027, and no retirement announcement has occurred despite earlier 2026 rumors tied to White House pressure on senior conservatives and Senate dynamics ahead of midterms. Traders weigh these public statements and procedural patterns against historical precedents where justices time exits around favorable political conditions, with any shift likely requiring new health, institutional, or confirmation-related developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Khối lượng
$3,479,754Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito has repeatedly signaled plans to continue serving, most recently stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term” after an erroneous NPR report in June triggered brief speculation. At 76, the justice has hired clerks for the October 2026 term that runs through mid-2027, and no retirement announcement has occurred despite earlier 2026 rumors tied to White House pressure on senior conservatives and Senate dynamics ahead of midterms. Traders weigh these public statements and procedural patterns against historical precedents where justices time exits around favorable political conditions, with any shift likely requiring new health, institutional, or confirmation-related developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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