The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 95.5% is driven by the intense legal scrutiny surrounding Luigi Mangione in this true-crime saga that has dominated headlines like a real-life thriller. Serious charges including murder have kept him detained without bail amid ongoing pretrial developments, with no signs of swift resolution in the coming months. Recent court proceedings and the case's broad cultural footprint continue to shape trader sentiment, mirroring historical patterns where high-profile defendants face extended custody. An upset remains possible if a surprise plea deal or new evidence shifts momentum before 2027, but such outcomes appear unlikely given the entrenched procedural timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$15,320 KL.
$15,320 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,320 KL.
$15,320 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 95.5% is driven by the intense legal scrutiny surrounding Luigi Mangione in this true-crime saga that has dominated headlines like a real-life thriller. Serious charges including murder have kept him detained without bail amid ongoing pretrial developments, with no signs of swift resolution in the coming months. Recent court proceedings and the case's broad cultural footprint continue to shape trader sentiment, mirroring historical patterns where high-profile defendants face extended custody. An upset remains possible if a surprise plea deal or new evidence shifts momentum before 2027, but such outcomes appear unlikely given the entrenched procedural timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,320Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 95.5% is driven by the intense legal scrutiny surrounding Luigi Mangione in this true-crime saga that has dominated headlines like a real-life thriller. Serious charges including murder have kept him detained without bail amid ongoing pretrial developments, with no signs of swift resolution in the coming months. Recent court proceedings and the case's broad cultural footprint continue to shape trader sentiment, mirroring historical patterns where high-profile defendants face extended custody. An upset remains possible if a surprise plea deal or new evidence shifts momentum before 2027, but such outcomes appear unlikely given the entrenched procedural timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$15,320Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 95.5% is driven by the intense legal scrutiny surrounding Luigi Mangione in this true-crime saga that has dominated headlines like a real-life thriller. Serious charges including murder have kept him detained without bail amid ongoing pretrial developments, with no signs of swift resolution in the coming months. Recent court proceedings and the case's broad cultural footprint continue to shape trader sentiment, mirroring historical patterns where high-profile defendants face extended custody. An upset remains possible if a surprise plea deal or new evidence shifts momentum before 2027, but such outcomes appear unlikely given the entrenched procedural timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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