Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,653 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
78%
$8.000+
48%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
16%
$18,653 KL.
$7.000+
$50 KL.
78%
$8.000+
$1,474 KL.
48%
$9.000+
$22 KL.
38%
$10.000+
$17,107 KL.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,653Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$18,653Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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