Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 93% implied probability to Costco maintaining its iconic $1.50 hot dog-soda combo price through 2026, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's explicit March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—reinforced in a viral company video amid speculation. This loss-leader strategy drives food court traffic and membership renewals in Costco's high-margin warehouse model, with comparable sales up 11.6% in April 2026. A minor April tweak adding bottled water to the combo preserved pricing intact despite inflation pressures that would value it at over $4 today. Realistic challenges include severe commodity cost spikes or executive turnover post-retirement, though no such catalysts loom ahead of Q2 earnings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 93% implied probability to Costco maintaining its iconic $1.50 hot dog-soda combo price through 2026, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's explicit March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—reinforced in a viral company video amid speculation. This loss-leader strategy drives food court traffic and membership renewals in Costco's high-margin warehouse model, with comparable sales up 11.6% in April 2026. A minor April tweak adding bottled water to the combo preserved pricing intact despite inflation pressures that would value it at over $4 today. Realistic challenges include severe commodity cost spikes or executive turnover post-retirement, though no such catalysts loom ahead of Q2 earnings.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,081Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 93% implied probability to Costco maintaining its iconic $1.50 hot dog-soda combo price through 2026, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's explicit March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—reinforced in a viral company video amid speculation. This loss-leader strategy drives food court traffic and membership renewals in Costco's high-margin warehouse model, with comparable sales up 11.6% in April 2026. A minor April tweak adding bottled water to the combo preserved pricing intact despite inflation pressures that would value it at over $4 today. Realistic challenges include severe commodity cost spikes or executive turnover post-retirement, though no such catalysts loom ahead of Q2 earnings.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$9,081Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 93% implied probability to Costco maintaining its iconic $1.50 hot dog-soda combo price through 2026, anchored by CEO Ron Vachris's explicit March 2026 pledge—"the price will not change as long as I'm around"—reinforced in a viral company video amid speculation. This loss-leader strategy drives food court traffic and membership renewals in Costco's high-margin warehouse model, with comparable sales up 11.6% in April 2026. A minor April tweak adding bottled water to the combo preserved pricing intact despite inflation pressures that would value it at over $4 today. Realistic challenges include severe commodity cost spikes or executive turnover post-retirement, though no such catalysts loom ahead of Q2 earnings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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