April 2026 CPI surged to 2.6% year-over-year—a 21-month high fueled by petroleum price spikes from Middle East tensions—accelerating from March's 2.2% and matching forecasts, prompting Bank of Korea officials to signal potential H2 rate hikes amid sub-2% growth and upward inflation revisions from prior 2.2% projections. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this in tightly contested implied probabilities of 37.2% for 2.4%-2.6%, 37.1% for 2.7%-2.9%, and 36.5% for 2.1%-2.3%, with core inflation holding steady at 2.2% tempering upside risks. Key differentiators include energy pass-through persistence versus semiconductor-driven growth; May CPI data and BoK policy decision will be pivotal catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.1%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 KL.
$11,072 KL.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
38%
2.4% to 2.6%
37%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
27%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.1%
1.8% to 2.0% 30.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
$11,072 KL.
$11,072 KL.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
38%
2.4% to 2.6%
37%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
27%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...April 2026 CPI surged to 2.6% year-over-year—a 21-month high fueled by petroleum price spikes from Middle East tensions—accelerating from March's 2.2% and matching forecasts, prompting Bank of Korea officials to signal potential H2 rate hikes amid sub-2% growth and upward inflation revisions from prior 2.2% projections. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this in tightly contested implied probabilities of 37.2% for 2.4%-2.6%, 37.1% for 2.7%-2.9%, and 36.5% for 2.1%-2.3%, with core inflation holding steady at 2.2% tempering upside risks. Key differentiators include energy pass-through persistence versus semiconductor-driven growth; May CPI data and BoK policy decision will be pivotal catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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