Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
1.228 - 1.238m 22%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
<1.228m 19%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
<1.228m
19%
1.228 - 1.238m
22%
1.238 - 1.249m
22%
1.249 - 1.259m
19%
1.259 - 1.27m
14%
1.27 - 1.28m
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
7%
>1.301m
7%
1.228 - 1.238m 22%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
<1.228m 19%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
<1.228m
$167 KL.
19%
1.228 - 1.238m
$62 KL.
22%
1.238 - 1.249m
$436 KL.
22%
1.249 - 1.259m
$1,325 KL.
19%
1.259 - 1.27m
$0 KL.
14%
1.27 - 1.28m
$0 KL.
7%
1.28 - 1.301m
$0 KL.
7%
>1.301m
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,990Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Khối lượng
$1,990Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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