The Bank of England’s June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting carries an 87% market-implied probability of no change in the 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting the MPC’s recent decision to hold steady amid elevated inflation. CPI rose to 3.3% in March, with further upward pressure expected from higher global energy prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, prompting an active hold at the April meeting where one member favored a 25-basis-point hike. A loosening labor market and tightening financial conditions have contained second-round effects so far, supporting trader consensus that policy remains on hold rather than easing or tightening aggressively. The June 18 outcome will hinge on incoming data releases and any updated guidance on the balance between inflation risks and economic slack.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBank of England decision in June?
No change 87%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$125,830 KL.
$125,830 KL.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
87%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 87%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$125,830 KL.
$125,830 KL.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
87%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting carries an 87% market-implied probability of no change in the 3.75% Bank Rate, reflecting the MPC’s recent decision to hold steady amid elevated inflation. CPI rose to 3.3% in March, with further upward pressure expected from higher global energy prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions, prompting an active hold at the April meeting where one member favored a 25-basis-point hike. A loosening labor market and tightening financial conditions have contained second-round effects so far, supporting trader consensus that policy remains on hold rather than easing or tightening aggressively. The June 18 outcome will hinge on incoming data releases and any updated guidance on the balance between inflation risks and economic slack.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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