Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI monthly change market reflects tight competition between 0.5% (32.5% implied probability) and 0.6% (23.5%), driven by hotter-than-expected April data showing headline CPI up 0.6% month-over-month—above consensus—and producer prices surging 1.4% month-over-month with 6.0% year-over-year, the largest since 2022. Cleveland Fed's May nowcast points to 0.46% headline and 0.23% core, aligning with trader consensus around moderate stickiness amid persistent services inflation, though energy volatility adds uncertainty. Key differentiators include recent tariff passthrough and labor market resilience; resolution hinges on June 11 BLS release, with swing factors like gasoline prices potentially tipping odds toward 0.4% or 0.7%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0.5% 53%
0.6% 39%
0.4% 15%
0.7% 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
42%
0.6%
28%
0.7%
13%
0.8%
6%
≥0.9%
5%
0.5% 53%
0.6% 39%
0.4% 15%
0.7% 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
$29 KL.
4%
0.2%
$27 KL.
9%
0.3%
$369 KL.
11%
0.4%
$512 KL.
15%
0.5%
$29 KL.
42%
0.6%
$49 KL.
28%
0.7%
$27 KL.
13%
0.8%
$27 KL.
6%
≥0.9%
$39 KL.
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI monthly change market reflects tight competition between 0.5% (32.5% implied probability) and 0.6% (23.5%), driven by hotter-than-expected April data showing headline CPI up 0.6% month-over-month—above consensus—and producer prices surging 1.4% month-over-month with 6.0% year-over-year, the largest since 2022. Cleveland Fed's May nowcast points to 0.46% headline and 0.23% core, aligning with trader consensus around moderate stickiness amid persistent services inflation, though energy volatility adds uncertainty. Key differentiators include recent tariff passthrough and labor market resilience; resolution hinges on June 11 BLS release, with swing factors like gasoline prices potentially tipping odds toward 0.4% or 0.7%.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,107Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI monthly change market reflects tight competition between 0.5% (32.5% implied probability) and 0.6% (23.5%), driven by hotter-than-expected April data showing headline CPI up 0.6% month-over-month—above consensus—and producer prices surging 1.4% month-over-month with 6.0% year-over-year, the largest since 2022. Cleveland Fed's May nowcast points to 0.46% headline and 0.23% core, aligning with trader consensus around moderate stickiness amid persistent services inflation, though energy volatility adds uncertainty. Key differentiators include recent tariff passthrough and labor market resilience; resolution hinges on June 11 BLS release, with swing factors like gasoline prices potentially tipping odds toward 0.4% or 0.7%.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$1,107Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI monthly change market reflects tight competition between 0.5% (32.5% implied probability) and 0.6% (23.5%), driven by hotter-than-expected April data showing headline CPI up 0.6% month-over-month—above consensus—and producer prices surging 1.4% month-over-month with 6.0% year-over-year, the largest since 2022. Cleveland Fed's May nowcast points to 0.46% headline and 0.23% core, aligning with trader consensus around moderate stickiness amid persistent services inflation, though energy volatility adds uncertainty. Key differentiators include recent tariff passthrough and labor market resilience; resolution hinges on June 11 BLS release, with swing factors like gasoline prices potentially tipping odds toward 0.4% or 0.7%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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