Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from tariffs and Middle East energy pressures, anchor trader sentiment near even odds for a 2026 Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its July meeting despite three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, citing solid growth, stable unemployment, and upside inflation risks from AI-driven demand. Core services disinflation and moderating wage growth at 3.5% provide some offset, preventing stronger consensus for hikes. September FOMC deliberations, August CPI and PCE releases, and updated dot-plot projections will likely clarify whether persistent price pressures above the 2% target outweigh cooling trends and shift the market-implied path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
46% khả năng
$7,509,571 KL.
$7,509,571 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
Có
46% khả năng
$7,509,571 KL.
$7,509,571 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from tariffs and Middle East energy pressures, anchor trader sentiment near even odds for a 2026 Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its July meeting despite three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, citing solid growth, stable unemployment, and upside inflation risks from AI-driven demand. Core services disinflation and moderating wage growth at 3.5% provide some offset, preventing stronger consensus for hikes. September FOMC deliberations, August CPI and PCE releases, and updated dot-plot projections will likely clarify whether persistent price pressures above the 2% target outweigh cooling trends and shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,509,571Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from tariffs and Middle East energy pressures, anchor trader sentiment near even odds for a 2026 Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its July meeting despite three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, citing solid growth, stable unemployment, and upside inflation risks from AI-driven demand. Core services disinflation and moderating wage growth at 3.5% provide some offset, preventing stronger consensus for hikes. September FOMC deliberations, August CPI and PCE releases, and updated dot-plot projections will likely clarify whether persistent price pressures above the 2% target outweigh cooling trends and shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$7,509,571Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation readings, including June CPI at 3.5% year-over-year and core PCE near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from tariffs and Middle East energy pressures, anchor trader sentiment near even odds for a 2026 Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in its July meeting despite three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, citing solid growth, stable unemployment, and upside inflation risks from AI-driven demand. Core services disinflation and moderating wage growth at 3.5% provide some offset, preventing stronger consensus for hikes. September FOMC deliberations, August CPI and PCE releases, and updated dot-plot projections will likely clarify whether persistent price pressures above the 2% target outweigh cooling trends and shift the market-implied path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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