Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$104,016 KL.
$104,016 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$104,016 KL.
$104,016 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$104,016Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Khối lượng
$104,016Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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