The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,137,507 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
September Meeting
39%
October Meeting
50%
$2,137,507 KL.
September Meeting
$761,640 KL.
39%
October Meeting
$415,867 KL.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,137,507Ngày kết thúc
Oct 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,137,507Ngày kết thúc
Oct 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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