President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$15,174 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
5%
December 31
18%
$15,174 KL.
June 30
$8,050 KL.
5%
December 31
$7,124 KL.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,174Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$15,174Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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