Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 31, 2028, providing the structural anchor for trader sentiment on his departure timeline. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell signaled he would remain on the Board pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation, creating a baseline expectation of continuity absent external pressure. Political tensions with the Trump administration and legal challenges around removal authority add uncertainty, though no binding deadlines or confirmed exits have materialized since the May transition. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on any updates to the probe, congressional actions, or shifts in Fed leadership dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$434,352 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
22%
$434,352 KL.
December 31
$147,760 KL.
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 31, 2028, providing the structural anchor for trader sentiment on his departure timeline. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell signaled he would remain on the Board pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation, creating a baseline expectation of continuity absent external pressure. Political tensions with the Trump administration and legal challenges around removal authority add uncertainty, though no binding deadlines or confirmed exits have materialized since the May transition. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on any updates to the probe, congressional actions, or shifts in Fed leadership dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$434,352Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 31, 2028, providing the structural anchor for trader sentiment on his departure timeline. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell signaled he would remain on the Board pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation, creating a baseline expectation of continuity absent external pressure. Political tensions with the Trump administration and legal challenges around removal authority add uncertainty, though no binding deadlines or confirmed exits have materialized since the May transition. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on any updates to the probe, congressional actions, or shifts in Fed leadership dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$434,352Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 31, 2028, providing the structural anchor for trader sentiment on his departure timeline. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell signaled he would remain on the Board pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation, creating a baseline expectation of continuity absent external pressure. Political tensions with the Trump administration and legal challenges around removal authority add uncertainty, though no binding deadlines or confirmed exits have materialized since the May transition. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on any updates to the probe, congressional actions, or shifts in Fed leadership dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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