Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with June 2026 headline CPI at 3.5% year-over-year amid softer energy prices, has eased but not removed hawkish pressures within the FOMC ahead of the January 2027 meeting. Persistent core readings near 2.6% alongside a stable labor market—unemployment at 4.2% and moderate payroll gains—have sustained internal divisions, as evidenced by the 9-3 vote at the July 2026 meeting where three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds of 18.5–23.5% across zero to three dissents, with key swing factors including the upcoming July and August CPI prints, Fed communications on the neutral rate, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could unify or further fracture consensus around the current 3.5–3.75% federal funds target.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
2 27%
3 24%
1 21%
0 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 27, 2027
0
19%
1
21%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
18%
2 27%
3 24%
1 21%
0 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 27, 2027
0
$1,030 KL.
19%
1
$342 KL.
21%
2
$93 KL.
24%
3
$4,188 KL.
24%
4+
$231 KL.
18%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with June 2026 headline CPI at 3.5% year-over-year amid softer energy prices, has eased but not removed hawkish pressures within the FOMC ahead of the January 2027 meeting. Persistent core readings near 2.6% alongside a stable labor market—unemployment at 4.2% and moderate payroll gains—have sustained internal divisions, as evidenced by the 9-3 vote at the July 2026 meeting where three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds of 18.5–23.5% across zero to three dissents, with key swing factors including the upcoming July and August CPI prints, Fed communications on the neutral rate, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could unify or further fracture consensus around the current 3.5–3.75% federal funds target.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,885Ngày kết thúc
Jan 27, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with June 2026 headline CPI at 3.5% year-over-year amid softer energy prices, has eased but not removed hawkish pressures within the FOMC ahead of the January 2027 meeting. Persistent core readings near 2.6% alongside a stable labor market—unemployment at 4.2% and moderate payroll gains—have sustained internal divisions, as evidenced by the 9-3 vote at the July 2026 meeting where three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds of 18.5–23.5% across zero to three dissents, with key swing factors including the upcoming July and August CPI prints, Fed communications on the neutral rate, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could unify or further fracture consensus around the current 3.5–3.75% federal funds target.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$5,885Ngày kết thúc
Jan 27, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. inflation, with June 2026 headline CPI at 3.5% year-over-year amid softer energy prices, has eased but not removed hawkish pressures within the FOMC ahead of the January 2027 meeting. Persistent core readings near 2.6% alongside a stable labor market—unemployment at 4.2% and moderate payroll gains—have sustained internal divisions, as evidenced by the 9-3 vote at the July 2026 meeting where three regional presidents dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. These dynamics underpin the closely matched market-implied odds of 18.5–23.5% across zero to three dissents, with key swing factors including the upcoming July and August CPI prints, Fed communications on the neutral rate, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could unify or further fracture consensus around the current 3.5–3.75% federal funds target.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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