The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$318,611 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
4%
$318,611 KL.
December 31, 2026
$2,166 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$318,611Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$318,611Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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