The closure of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, without any charges underpins the market-implied odds below 5% for an indictment by year-end. Prosecutors examined allegations tied to the $2.5 billion headquarters renovation and Powell’s June 2025 congressional testimony but presented no evidence sufficient to proceed, prompting a federal judge to quash related subpoenas earlier that year. With the probe terminated months ago and Powell’s term dynamics shifting toward a governor role through 2028, trader consensus reflects limited pathways to formal charges absent new developments. Key upcoming catalysts remain absent, though any renewed political or regulatory scrutiny could introduce volatility in this low-probability outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$318,661 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
6%
$318,661 KL.
December 31, 2026
$2,216 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The closure of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, without any charges underpins the market-implied odds below 5% for an indictment by year-end. Prosecutors examined allegations tied to the $2.5 billion headquarters renovation and Powell’s June 2025 congressional testimony but presented no evidence sufficient to proceed, prompting a federal judge to quash related subpoenas earlier that year. With the probe terminated months ago and Powell’s term dynamics shifting toward a governor role through 2028, trader consensus reflects limited pathways to formal charges absent new developments. Key upcoming catalysts remain absent, though any renewed political or regulatory scrutiny could introduce volatility in this low-probability outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$318,661Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The closure of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, without any charges underpins the market-implied odds below 5% for an indictment by year-end. Prosecutors examined allegations tied to the $2.5 billion headquarters renovation and Powell’s June 2025 congressional testimony but presented no evidence sufficient to proceed, prompting a federal judge to quash related subpoenas earlier that year. With the probe terminated months ago and Powell’s term dynamics shifting toward a governor role through 2028, trader consensus reflects limited pathways to formal charges absent new developments. Key upcoming catalysts remain absent, though any renewed political or regulatory scrutiny could introduce volatility in this low-probability outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$318,661Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closure of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, without any charges underpins the market-implied odds below 5% for an indictment by year-end. Prosecutors examined allegations tied to the $2.5 billion headquarters renovation and Powell’s June 2025 congressional testimony but presented no evidence sufficient to proceed, prompting a federal judge to quash related subpoenas earlier that year. With the probe terminated months ago and Powell’s term dynamics shifting toward a governor role through 2028, trader consensus reflects limited pathways to formal charges absent new developments. Key upcoming catalysts remain absent, though any renewed political or regulatory scrutiny could introduce volatility in this low-probability outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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