Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of mid-August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the low 30s to the high 30s amid steady but modest movement. Ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, associated rises in energy costs, and broader economic pressures have weighed on sentiment, while core support levels have shown resilience. With the August 21 measurement only days away, traders view the narrow band between 37.5-38.4 as the most probable outcome because few high-impact events or fresh national surveys are scheduled to shift the figure sharply in that window. A sudden diplomatic development, major economic release, or outlier poll could still widen the distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật37.5–37.9 37%
38.0–38.4 37%
38.5–38.9 13%
<37.0 9.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
<37.0
12%
37.0–37.4
15%
37.5–37.9
47%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
13%
39.0+
1%
37.5–37.9 37%
38.0–38.4 37%
38.5–38.9 13%
<37.0 9.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
<37.0
$267 KL.
12%
37.0–37.4
$128 KL.
15%
37.5–37.9
$640 KL.
47%
38.0–38.4
$317 KL.
37%
38.5–38.9
$212 KL.
13%
39.0+
$223 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of mid-August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the low 30s to the high 30s amid steady but modest movement. Ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, associated rises in energy costs, and broader economic pressures have weighed on sentiment, while core support levels have shown resilience. With the August 21 measurement only days away, traders view the narrow band between 37.5-38.4 as the most probable outcome because few high-impact events or fresh national surveys are scheduled to shift the figure sharply in that window. A sudden diplomatic development, major economic release, or outlier poll could still widen the distribution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,786Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of mid-August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the low 30s to the high 30s amid steady but modest movement. Ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, associated rises in energy costs, and broader economic pressures have weighed on sentiment, while core support levels have shown resilience. With the August 21 measurement only days away, traders view the narrow band between 37.5-38.4 as the most probable outcome because few high-impact events or fresh national surveys are scheduled to shift the figure sharply in that window. A sudden diplomatic development, major economic release, or outlier poll could still widen the distribution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$1,786Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of mid-August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the low 30s to the high 30s amid steady but modest movement. Ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, associated rises in energy costs, and broader economic pressures have weighed on sentiment, while core support levels have shown resilience. With the August 21 measurement only days away, traders view the narrow band between 37.5-38.4 as the most probable outcome because few high-impact events or fresh national surveys are scheduled to shift the figure sharply in that window. A sudden diplomatic development, major economic release, or outlier poll could still widen the distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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