Recent polls show President Trump's job approval hovering at or near second-term lows of 33-36% as of mid-August 2026, driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with the economy, elevated gas prices, and the ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict that escalated earlier in the year. Partisan support has softened, with Republican approval declining from earlier peaks, while overall disapproval remains elevated across multiple trackers. The approach of the November 2026 midterms adds a layer of scrutiny, as economic sentiment and foreign policy developments could further shift public views before year-end. Historical patterns indicate second-term ratings often stabilize or rebound modestly absent major new catalysts, though persistent inflation or escalation in overseas engagements represent potential downside risks to current levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$120,907 KL.
35%
30%
30%
6%
25%
5%
20%
3%
$120,907 KL.
35%
30%
30%
6%
25%
5%
20%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show President Trump's job approval hovering at or near second-term lows of 33-36% as of mid-August 2026, driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with the economy, elevated gas prices, and the ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict that escalated earlier in the year. Partisan support has softened, with Republican approval declining from earlier peaks, while overall disapproval remains elevated across multiple trackers. The approach of the November 2026 midterms adds a layer of scrutiny, as economic sentiment and foreign policy developments could further shift public views before year-end. Historical patterns indicate second-term ratings often stabilize or rebound modestly absent major new catalysts, though persistent inflation or escalation in overseas engagements represent potential downside risks to current levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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