Elon Musk's X activity in early July typically clusters in the low-to-mid 200s per week amid routine engagement, with the tight spread across 180-259 ranges reflecting trader consensus on his baseline volume of roughly 25-35 posts daily. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật380-399 57%
200-219 32%
220-239 30%
180-199 29%
$17,736 KL.
$17,736 KL.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
5%
80-99
8%
100-119
9%
120-139
29%
140-159
24%
160-179
24%
180-199
29%
200-219
32%
220-239
30%
240-259
29%
260-279
29%
280-299
27%
300-319
27%
320-339
27%
340-359
1%
360-379
28%
380-399
57%
400-419
5%
420-439
8%
440-459
8%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
380-399 57%
200-219 32%
220-239 30%
180-199 29%
$17,736 KL.
$17,736 KL.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
5%
80-99
8%
100-119
9%
120-139
29%
140-159
24%
160-179
24%
180-199
29%
200-219
32%
220-239
30%
240-259
29%
260-279
29%
280-299
27%
300-319
27%
320-339
27%
340-359
1%
360-379
28%
380-399
57%
400-419
5%
420-439
8%
440-459
8%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's X activity in early July typically clusters in the low-to-mid 200s per week amid routine engagement, with the tight spread across 180-259 ranges reflecting trader consensus on his baseline volume of roughly 25-35 posts daily. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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