Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 71% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon confirmation that the search for Bond 26's 007—under director Denis Villeneuve—is proceeding with deliberate care post-Dune: Part Three, shutting down rampant casting rumors. Persistent but unverified buzz positions Callum Turner as the distant frontrunner at 13%, fueled by his rising star power in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, British heritage, and February Berlin Film Festival speculation he coyly addressed. Jacob Elordi's 3% reflects recent Oscar-nominated momentum from Saltburn and Euphoria, yet guild-like scrutiny and historical franchise caution keep the field wide open ahead of mid-2026 casting tests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDiễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?
Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?
Chưa chọn Bond 71%
Callum Turner 10.8%
Jacob Elordi 3.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%
$2,175,715 KL.
$2,175,715 KL.
Chưa chọn Bond
71%
Callum Turner
11%
Jacob Elordi
3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Tom Holland
1%
Henry Cavill
1%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Theo James
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Chưa chọn Bond 71%
Callum Turner 10.8%
Jacob Elordi 3.3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%
$2,175,715 KL.
$2,175,715 KL.
Chưa chọn Bond
71%
Callum Turner
11%
Jacob Elordi
3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Tom Holland
1%
Henry Cavill
1%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Theo James
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 71% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon confirmation that the search for Bond 26's 007—under director Denis Villeneuve—is proceeding with deliberate care post-Dune: Part Three, shutting down rampant casting rumors. Persistent but unverified buzz positions Callum Turner as the distant frontrunner at 13%, fueled by his rising star power in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, British heritage, and February Berlin Film Festival speculation he coyly addressed. Jacob Elordi's 3% reflects recent Oscar-nominated momentum from Saltburn and Euphoria, yet guild-like scrutiny and historical franchise caution keep the field wide open ahead of mid-2026 casting tests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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