Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, but halted early due to the disgraced producer's chest pains amid documented health issues including cancer and diabetes. The leading 10-20 years implied probability (31.6%) stems from his confirmed 16-year California sexual assault sentence—currently under appeal following a skeptical April appellate panel—while no prison time (28.9%) bets on successful challenges or pleas, echoing his 2024 New York conviction overturn. A prior 2025 New York sexual assault conviction adds potential years if upheld, but traders eye the imminent verdict as the key differentiator in this #MeToo landmark case's protracted legal saga.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Thời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
10-20 năm 30.0%
Không bị tù 28.8%
20-30 năm 24.4%
Dưới 5 năm 9.6%
$928,247 KL.
$928,247 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
29%
Dưới 5 năm
10%
5-10 years
5%
10-20 năm
24%
20-30 năm
24%
Hơn 30 năm
7%
10-20 năm 30.0%
Không bị tù 28.8%
20-30 năm 24.4%
Dưới 5 năm 9.6%
$928,247 KL.
$928,247 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
$330,923 KL.
29%
Dưới 5 năm
$122,705 KL.
10%
5-10 years
$72,633 KL.
5%
10-20 năm
$148,755 KL.
24%
20-30 năm
$187,242 KL.
24%
Hơn 30 năm
$65,988 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, but halted early due to the disgraced producer's chest pains amid documented health issues including cancer and diabetes. The leading 10-20 years implied probability (31.6%) stems from his confirmed 16-year California sexual assault sentence—currently under appeal following a skeptical April appellate panel—while no prison time (28.9%) bets on successful challenges or pleas, echoing his 2024 New York conviction overturn. A prior 2025 New York sexual assault conviction adds potential years if upheld, but traders eye the imminent verdict as the key differentiator in this #MeToo landmark case's protracted legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$928,247Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, but halted early due to the disgraced producer's chest pains amid documented health issues including cancer and diabetes. The leading 10-20 years implied probability (31.6%) stems from his confirmed 16-year California sexual assault sentence—currently under appeal following a skeptical April appellate panel—while no prison time (28.9%) bets on successful challenges or pleas, echoing his 2024 New York conviction overturn. A prior 2025 New York sexual assault conviction adds potential years if upheld, but traders eye the imminent verdict as the key differentiator in this #MeToo landmark case's protracted legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$928,247Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's total prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial, where jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, but halted early due to the disgraced producer's chest pains amid documented health issues including cancer and diabetes. The leading 10-20 years implied probability (31.6%) stems from his confirmed 16-year California sexual assault sentence—currently under appeal following a skeptical April appellate panel—while no prison time (28.9%) bets on successful challenges or pleas, echoing his 2024 New York conviction overturn. A prior 2025 New York sexual assault conviction adds potential years if upheld, but traders eye the imminent verdict as the key differentiator in this #MeToo landmark case's protracted legal saga.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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