Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$449,717 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 18
94%
June 25
93%
June 27
92%
June 10
96%
June 11
96%
June 12
93%
June 13
93%
June 14
93%
June 15
94%
June 16
92%
June 17
93%
June 19
92%
June 20
92%
June 21
91%
June 22
92%
June 23
92%
June 24
92%
June 26
92%
June 28
93%
June 29
92%
June 30
92%
$449,717 KL.
June 18
$1,536 KL.
94%
June 25
$146 KL.
93%
June 27
$150 KL.
92%
June 10
$13,316 KL.
96%
June 11
$4,448 KL.
96%
June 12
$3,480 KL.
93%
June 13
$1,662 KL.
93%
June 14
$1,418 KL.
93%
June 15
$2,835 KL.
94%
June 16
$284 KL.
92%
June 17
$813 KL.
93%
June 19
$232 KL.
92%
June 20
$190 KL.
92%
June 21
$2,235 KL.
91%
June 22
$322 KL.
92%
June 23
$149 KL.
92%
June 24
$179 KL.
92%
June 26
$207 KL.
92%
June 28
$768 KL.
93%
June 29
$1,328 KL.
92%
June 30
$173 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$449,717Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$449,717Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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