Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. Sworn in on May 22 after Senate confirmation, Warsh has signaled a shift toward fewer communications, a neutral policy stance rather than an easing bias, and reduced forward guidance compared with his predecessor. Market participants focus on whether he will reference the dot plot, inflation trends, labor market conditions, or potential 2026 rate adjustments, alongside any adoption of “chairman” terminology. The pre-meeting blackout period and expectations of no immediate policy change further concentrate attention on tone and any hints of regime shifts in messaging.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$25,404 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
Inflation 40+ times
57%
Inflation 50+ times
41%
Inflation 60+ times
25%
Job 15+ times
47%
Jerome / Powell
75%
Trump
19%
Rate / Cut
95%
Money
35%
Good Afternoon
80%
Depression / Recession
45%
Chair
69%
FED
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
Balance Sheet
75%
Dual Mandate
54%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
38%
I Don't Know
28%
Downside
42%
Trend
43%
Stable / Stability
81%
Job Market
51%
Maximum Employment
68%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
32%
Asymmetric
41%
$25,404 KL.
Inflation 40+ times
$180 KL.
57%
Inflation 50+ times
$50 KL.
41%
Inflation 60+ times
$6 KL.
25%
Job 15+ times
$409 KL.
47%
Jerome / Powell
$347 KL.
75%
Trump
$6,652 KL.
19%
Rate / Cut
$358 KL.
95%
Money
$484 KL.
35%
Good Afternoon
$4,611 KL.
80%
Depression / Recession
$2,101 KL.
45%
Chair
$807 KL.
69%
FED
$550 KL.
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$584 KL.
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$1,162 KL.
11%
Balance Sheet
$262 KL.
75%
Dual Mandate
$69 KL.
54%
Goods Inflation
$1,371 KL.
35%
Stock
$677 KL.
38%
I Don't Know
$1,175 KL.
28%
Downside
$15 KL.
42%
Trend
$15 KL.
43%
Stable / Stability
$954 KL.
81%
Job Market
$554 KL.
51%
Maximum Employment
$165 KL.
68%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$376 KL.
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
$589 KL.
32%
Asymmetric
$989 KL.
41%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. Sworn in on May 22 after Senate confirmation, Warsh has signaled a shift toward fewer communications, a neutral policy stance rather than an easing bias, and reduced forward guidance compared with his predecessor. Market participants focus on whether he will reference the dot plot, inflation trends, labor market conditions, or potential 2026 rate adjustments, alongside any adoption of “chairman” terminology. The pre-meeting blackout period and expectations of no immediate policy change further concentrate attention on tone and any hints of regime shifts in messaging.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,404Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. Sworn in on May 22 after Senate confirmation, Warsh has signaled a shift toward fewer communications, a neutral policy stance rather than an easing bias, and reduced forward guidance compared with his predecessor. Market participants focus on whether he will reference the dot plot, inflation trends, labor market conditions, or potential 2026 rate adjustments, alongside any adoption of “chairman” terminology. The pre-meeting blackout period and expectations of no immediate policy change further concentrate attention on tone and any hints of regime shifts in messaging.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Khối lượng
$25,404Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. Sworn in on May 22 after Senate confirmation, Warsh has signaled a shift toward fewer communications, a neutral policy stance rather than an easing bias, and reduced forward guidance compared with his predecessor. Market participants focus on whether he will reference the dot plot, inflation trends, labor market conditions, or potential 2026 rate adjustments, alongside any adoption of “chairman” terminology. The pre-meeting blackout period and expectations of no immediate policy change further concentrate attention on tone and any hints of regime shifts in messaging.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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