Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by April's record four dissents amid inflation concerns from elevated energy prices and tariff effects, are shaping trader sentiment for the June 16-17 meeting. With the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and an easing bias in the statement drawing pushback from officials like Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, and Beth Hammack, the 62.5 percent implied probability for zero dissents reflects expectations of restored consensus as incoming data on CPI, labor markets, and growth moderate hawkish views. One dissent carries 17.5 percent odds, tied to potential holdouts over policy language, while higher counts remain low-probability outliers given the committee's typical alignment outside exceptional inflation shocks. Upcoming economic releases before mid-June could further anchor these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 63%
1 19%
3 9%
2 7%
$16,662 KL.
$16,662 KL.
Jun 17, 2026
0
63%
1
19%
2
7%
3
9%
4+
2%
0 63%
1 19%
3 9%
2 7%
$16,662 KL.
$16,662 KL.
Jun 17, 2026
0
$10,924 KL.
63%
1
$357 KL.
19%
2
$155 KL.
7%
3
$156 KL.
9%
4+
$5,072 KL.
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by April's record four dissents amid inflation concerns from elevated energy prices and tariff effects, are shaping trader sentiment for the June 16-17 meeting. With the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and an easing bias in the statement drawing pushback from officials like Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, and Beth Hammack, the 62.5 percent implied probability for zero dissents reflects expectations of restored consensus as incoming data on CPI, labor markets, and growth moderate hawkish views. One dissent carries 17.5 percent odds, tied to potential holdouts over policy language, while higher counts remain low-probability outliers given the committee's typical alignment outside exceptional inflation shocks. Upcoming economic releases before mid-June could further anchor these market-implied odds.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,662Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by April's record four dissents amid inflation concerns from elevated energy prices and tariff effects, are shaping trader sentiment for the June 16-17 meeting. With the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and an easing bias in the statement drawing pushback from officials like Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, and Beth Hammack, the 62.5 percent implied probability for zero dissents reflects expectations of restored consensus as incoming data on CPI, labor markets, and growth moderate hawkish views. One dissent carries 17.5 percent odds, tied to potential holdouts over policy language, while higher counts remain low-probability outliers given the committee's typical alignment outside exceptional inflation shocks. Upcoming economic releases before mid-June could further anchor these market-implied odds.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$16,662Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC divisions, highlighted by April's record four dissents amid inflation concerns from elevated energy prices and tariff effects, are shaping trader sentiment for the June 16-17 meeting. With the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75 percent and an easing bias in the statement drawing pushback from officials like Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, and Beth Hammack, the 62.5 percent implied probability for zero dissents reflects expectations of restored consensus as incoming data on CPI, labor markets, and growth moderate hawkish views. One dissent carries 17.5 percent odds, tied to potential holdouts over policy language, while higher counts remain low-probability outliers given the committee's typical alignment outside exceptional inflation shocks. Upcoming economic releases before mid-June could further anchor these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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