Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have traded near 4.6-4.7% in mid-August 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings around 2.5% year-over-year and resilient economic growth that has tempered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated fiscal deficits have added upward pressure through higher term premiums and oil-price risks, while the Fed's patient stance—following earlier rate cuts—has kept the implied policy path anchored. Traders are watching upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and debt-ceiling dynamics for signals on whether yields test levels above 4.8-5.0% before 2027 or remain range-bound near current benchmarks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$284,583 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
63%
5.0%
32%
5.2%
15%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
7%
$284,583 KL.
4.8%
$59,299 KL.
63%
5.0%
$81,004 KL.
32%
5.2%
$25,519 KL.
15%
5.5%
$5,202 KL.
7%
5.7%
$4,220 KL.
5%
6.0%
$3,054 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have traded near 4.6-4.7% in mid-August 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings around 2.5% year-over-year and resilient economic growth that has tempered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated fiscal deficits have added upward pressure through higher term premiums and oil-price risks, while the Fed's patient stance—following earlier rate cuts—has kept the implied policy path anchored. Traders are watching upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and debt-ceiling dynamics for signals on whether yields test levels above 4.8-5.0% before 2027 or remain range-bound near current benchmarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$284,583Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have traded near 4.6-4.7% in mid-August 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings around 2.5% year-over-year and resilient economic growth that has tempered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated fiscal deficits have added upward pressure through higher term premiums and oil-price risks, while the Fed's patient stance—following earlier rate cuts—has kept the implied policy path anchored. Traders are watching upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and debt-ceiling dynamics for signals on whether yields test levels above 4.8-5.0% before 2027 or remain range-bound near current benchmarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$284,583Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have traded near 4.6-4.7% in mid-August 2026, supported by sticky core inflation readings around 2.5% year-over-year and resilient economic growth that has tempered expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve easing. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and elevated fiscal deficits have added upward pressure through higher term premiums and oil-price risks, while the Fed's patient stance—following earlier rate cuts—has kept the implied policy path anchored. Traders are watching upcoming CPI releases, FOMC communications, and debt-ceiling dynamics for signals on whether yields test levels above 4.8-5.0% before 2027 or remain range-bound near current benchmarks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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