Recent July core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, the slowest pace since early 2021, has tempered near-term rate-hike expectations and contributed to a modest pullback in the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% as of mid-August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s target, a resilient labor market, and elevated oil prices amid geopolitical risks have supported higher yields throughout 2026, shifting market-implied odds away from cuts toward a possible pause or hikes under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Treasury supply dynamics and the flattening yield curve further anchor the rate path, with traders monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next FOMC meeting for signals on monetary policy adjustments that could push benchmark yields higher before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$284,640 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
64%
5.0%
32%
5.2%
16%
5.5%
8%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
7%
$284,640 KL.
4.8%
$59,301 KL.
64%
5.0%
$81,010 KL.
32%
5.2%
$25,525 KL.
16%
5.5%
$5,230 KL.
8%
5.7%
$4,234 KL.
7%
6.0%
$3,054 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent July core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, the slowest pace since early 2021, has tempered near-term rate-hike expectations and contributed to a modest pullback in the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% as of mid-August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s target, a resilient labor market, and elevated oil prices amid geopolitical risks have supported higher yields throughout 2026, shifting market-implied odds away from cuts toward a possible pause or hikes under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Treasury supply dynamics and the flattening yield curve further anchor the rate path, with traders monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next FOMC meeting for signals on monetary policy adjustments that could push benchmark yields higher before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$284,640Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent July core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, the slowest pace since early 2021, has tempered near-term rate-hike expectations and contributed to a modest pullback in the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% as of mid-August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s target, a resilient labor market, and elevated oil prices amid geopolitical risks have supported higher yields throughout 2026, shifting market-implied odds away from cuts toward a possible pause or hikes under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Treasury supply dynamics and the flattening yield curve further anchor the rate path, with traders monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next FOMC meeting for signals on monetary policy adjustments that could push benchmark yields higher before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$284,640Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent July core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, the slowest pace since early 2021, has tempered near-term rate-hike expectations and contributed to a modest pullback in the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65-4.70% as of mid-August 2026. Persistent inflation readings above the Fed’s target, a resilient labor market, and elevated oil prices amid geopolitical risks have supported higher yields throughout 2026, shifting market-implied odds away from cuts toward a possible pause or hikes under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Treasury supply dynamics and the flattening yield curve further anchor the rate path, with traders monitoring upcoming CPI releases and the next FOMC meeting for signals on monetary policy adjustments that could push benchmark yields higher before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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