Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI prints, fueled by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026—its highest level in nearly a year. Traders are now assigning greater weight to a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy path, with markets pricing a modest probability of at least one 25-basis-point rate hike by early 2027. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while labor market resilience and sticky core inflation readings above 2.8% limit prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, May CPI release, and any further geopolitical developments that could sustain commodity-driven price pressures through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$214,324 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4.6%
91%
4.8%
41%
5.0%
23%
5.2%
9%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
4%
$214,324 KL.
4.6%
$37,587 KL.
91%
4.8%
$47,306 KL.
41%
5.0%
$49,138 KL.
23%
5.2%
$9,099 KL.
9%
5.5%
$1,448 KL.
7%
5.7%
$3,229 KL.
7%
6.0%
$2,128 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI prints, fueled by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026—its highest level in nearly a year. Traders are now assigning greater weight to a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy path, with markets pricing a modest probability of at least one 25-basis-point rate hike by early 2027. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while labor market resilience and sticky core inflation readings above 2.8% limit prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, May CPI release, and any further geopolitical developments that could sustain commodity-driven price pressures through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$214,324Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI prints, fueled by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026—its highest level in nearly a year. Traders are now assigning greater weight to a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy path, with markets pricing a modest probability of at least one 25-basis-point rate hike by early 2027. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while labor market resilience and sticky core inflation readings above 2.8% limit prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, May CPI release, and any further geopolitical developments that could sustain commodity-driven price pressures through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$214,324Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI prints, fueled by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026—its highest level in nearly a year. Traders are now assigning greater weight to a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy path, with markets pricing a modest probability of at least one 25-basis-point rate hike by early 2027. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while labor market resilience and sticky core inflation readings above 2.8% limit prospects for near-term easing. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, May CPI release, and any further geopolitical developments that could sustain commodity-driven price pressures through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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