Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window on this Polymarket, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will step aside while remaining a Fed Board governor until 2028. President Trump's administration has nominated Kevin Warsh as successor, aligning with historical precedent where outgoing chairs transition at term end absent reappointment. This commanding lead stems from the fixed constitutional term limit and Powell's public statement, with no recent developments signaling extension. Potential challenges include delays in Warsh's Senate confirmation, a temporary holdover request, or unforeseen legal hurdles amid past tensions over Fed independence, though such shifts remain low-probability given the timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
June 6–12 <1%
$122,802 KL.
$122,802 KL.
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
<1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
June 6–12 <1%
$122,802 KL.
$122,802 KL.
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
$32,044 KL.
99%
May 23–29
$6,325 KL.
1%
May 30–June 5
$5,938 KL.
1%
June 6–12
$7,136 KL.
<1%
June 13–19
$6,713 KL.
<1%
June 20–26
$9,622 KL.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 KL.
<1%
After July 3
$14,856 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window on this Polymarket, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will step aside while remaining a Fed Board governor until 2028. President Trump's administration has nominated Kevin Warsh as successor, aligning with historical precedent where outgoing chairs transition at term end absent reappointment. This commanding lead stems from the fixed constitutional term limit and Powell's public statement, with no recent developments signaling extension. Potential challenges include delays in Warsh's Senate confirmation, a temporary holdover request, or unforeseen legal hurdles amid past tensions over Fed independence, though such shifts remain low-probability given the timeline.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$122,802Ngày kết thúc
Jul 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window on this Polymarket, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will step aside while remaining a Fed Board governor until 2028. President Trump's administration has nominated Kevin Warsh as successor, aligning with historical precedent where outgoing chairs transition at term end absent reappointment. This commanding lead stems from the fixed constitutional term limit and Powell's public statement, with no recent developments signaling extension. Potential challenges include delays in Warsh's Senate confirmation, a temporary holdover request, or unforeseen legal hurdles amid past tensions over Fed independence, though such shifts remain low-probability given the timeline.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$122,802Ngày kết thúc
Jul 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window on this Polymarket, reflecting his April 29 confirmation that he will step aside while remaining a Fed Board governor until 2028. President Trump's administration has nominated Kevin Warsh as successor, aligning with historical precedent where outgoing chairs transition at term end absent reappointment. This commanding lead stems from the fixed constitutional term limit and Powell's public statement, with no recent developments signaling extension. Potential challenges include delays in Warsh's Senate confirmation, a temporary holdover request, or unforeseen legal hurdles amid past tensions over Fed independence, though such shifts remain low-probability given the timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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