Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, ending his eight-year tenure that began in 2018. He has publicly confirmed he will step down from the chairmanship on that date while remaining a governor on the Board until at least 2028, citing an ongoing Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. President Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh advanced through the Senate Banking Committee and awaits full confirmation to succeed him. The transition occurs amid elevated political scrutiny of monetary policy independence and recent FOMC decisions that included multiple dissents. Upcoming Senate floor action on Warsh and any resolution of the renovation investigation represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence exact departure timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$138,386 KL.
May 16
3%
June 30
99%
May 31
94%
$138,386 KL.
May 16
3%
June 30
99%
May 31
94%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, ending his eight-year tenure that began in 2018. He has publicly confirmed he will step down from the chairmanship on that date while remaining a governor on the Board until at least 2028, citing an ongoing Justice Department probe into headquarters renovations. President Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh advanced through the Senate Banking Committee and awaits full confirmation to succeed him. The transition occurs amid elevated political scrutiny of monetary policy independence and recent FOMC decisions that included multiple dissents. Upcoming Senate floor action on Warsh and any resolution of the renovation investigation represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence exact departure timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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