The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$5,283,220 KL.
$5,283,220 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Có
$5,283,220 KL.
$5,283,220 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,283,220Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$5,283,220Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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