Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$766 KL.
May 15, 2026
COVID / Pandemic
32%
Biden
69%
Obama
46%
Inflation
41%
My Father / Fred
29%
Chip / Ship
64%
Jensen
55%
Child
44%
Moon
32%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
76%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
37%
Taiwan
42%
JD / Vance
37%
Dumbocrat
30%
Nuclear
78%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
47%
See what happens
53%
Strait / Hormuz
67%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
65%
Iran
81%
Ballroom
30%
Friend
57%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
$766 KL.
COVID / Pandemic
$1 KL.
32%
Biden
$1 KL.
69%
Obama
$0 KL.
46%
Inflation
$3 KL.
41%
My Father / Fred
$0 KL.
29%
Chip / Ship
$11 KL.
64%
Jensen
$0 KL.
55%
Child
$0 KL.
44%
Moon
$5 KL.
32%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
$154 KL.
76%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
$1 KL.
37%
Taiwan
$19 KL.
42%
JD / Vance
$5 KL.
37%
Dumbocrat
$1 KL.
30%
Nuclear
$234 KL.
78%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
$0 KL.
47%
See what happens
$15 KL.
53%
Strait / Hormuz
$5 KL.
67%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
$11 KL.
65%
Iran
$170 KL.
81%
Ballroom
$2 KL.
30%
Friend
$0 KL.
57%
-No Qualifying Event-
$126 KL.
2%
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$766Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Khối lượng
$766Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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