President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$1,516,333 KL.
$1,516,333 KL.
May 20, 2026
May 15
100%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
After May 18
<1%
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$1,516,333 KL.
$1,516,333 KL.
May 20, 2026
May 15
$110,236 KL.
100%
May 16
$51,534 KL.
<1%
May 17
$12,104 KL.
<1%
May 18
$3,024 KL.
<1%
After May 18
$1,270,437 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,516,333Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,516,333Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's confirmed departure from Beijing aboard Air Force One on May 15 caps his three-day state visit to China, originally scheduled from May 13-15 following a delay due to the Iran conflict, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% for this date. Official itineraries and live reports detail a farewell ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport after bilateral meetings and a working lunch with Xi Jinping, focused on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and technology. This aligns with pre-announced timelines from both U.S. and Chinese sources, reflecting diplomatic coordination. Scenarios challenging this—such as unforeseen flight delays, health issues, or extended talks—remain highly improbable given verified takeoff confirmations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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