Trader consensus favors Iván Cepeda Castro advancing from Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election alongside Abelardo de la Espriella, reflecting polls showing Cepeda's stable lead at 35-44% amid fragmented opposition support. Recent tracking polls, including Fundación Génesis Crea's May 14 survey (Cepeda 35.1%, Paloma Valencia 25.4%, de la Espriella 21.6%) and Confidencial's data (Cepeda 38%, Valencia 23%, de la Espriella 22%), highlight de la Espriella's momentum in head-to-head runoffs against Cepeda (52-49% edges), boosting his second-place odds over Valencia despite her Democratic Center base. No candidate nears outright victory threshold, with right-wing vote consolidation key ahead of campaigning close. Markets imply 60% probability for this pairing, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on de la Espriella's viability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 58%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 26%
1st Round Outright Winner 14%
Other 7%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
58%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
26%
1st Round Outright Winner
14%
Other
7%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
2%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 58%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 26%
1st Round Outright Winner 14%
Other 7%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$86 KL.
58%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$20 KL.
26%
1st Round Outright Winner
$40 KL.
14%
Other
$20 KL.
7%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$321 KL.
2%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus favors Iván Cepeda Castro advancing from Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election alongside Abelardo de la Espriella, reflecting polls showing Cepeda's stable lead at 35-44% amid fragmented opposition support. Recent tracking polls, including Fundación Génesis Crea's May 14 survey (Cepeda 35.1%, Paloma Valencia 25.4%, de la Espriella 21.6%) and Confidencial's data (Cepeda 38%, Valencia 23%, de la Espriella 22%), highlight de la Espriella's momentum in head-to-head runoffs against Cepeda (52-49% edges), boosting his second-place odds over Valencia despite her Democratic Center base. No candidate nears outright victory threshold, with right-wing vote consolidation key ahead of campaigning close. Markets imply 60% probability for this pairing, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on de la Espriella's viability.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$487Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus favors Iván Cepeda Castro advancing from Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election alongside Abelardo de la Espriella, reflecting polls showing Cepeda's stable lead at 35-44% amid fragmented opposition support. Recent tracking polls, including Fundación Génesis Crea's May 14 survey (Cepeda 35.1%, Paloma Valencia 25.4%, de la Espriella 21.6%) and Confidencial's data (Cepeda 38%, Valencia 23%, de la Espriella 22%), highlight de la Espriella's momentum in head-to-head runoffs against Cepeda (52-49% edges), boosting his second-place odds over Valencia despite her Democratic Center base. No candidate nears outright victory threshold, with right-wing vote consolidation key ahead of campaigning close. Markets imply 60% probability for this pairing, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on de la Espriella's viability.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$487Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Iván Cepeda Castro advancing from Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election alongside Abelardo de la Espriella, reflecting polls showing Cepeda's stable lead at 35-44% amid fragmented opposition support. Recent tracking polls, including Fundación Génesis Crea's May 14 survey (Cepeda 35.1%, Paloma Valencia 25.4%, de la Espriella 21.6%) and Confidencial's data (Cepeda 38%, Valencia 23%, de la Espriella 22%), highlight de la Espriella's momentum in head-to-head runoffs against Cepeda (52-49% edges), boosting his second-place odds over Valencia despite her Democratic Center base. No candidate nears outright victory threshold, with right-wing vote consolidation key ahead of campaigning close. Markets imply 60% probability for this pairing, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on de la Espriella's viability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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