Recent polls show Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leading with roughly 44 percent support, followed by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia in the low twenties, leaving all candidates well below the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory on May 31. Colombia’s two-round system, unchanged since 1991, has produced runoffs in every contested presidential race since 1994 whenever the field remains divided. With just two weeks until voting, no late consolidation or surge has narrowed the gap enough to alter this pattern, reinforcing trader expectations that a June 21 runoff will be needed to determine the winner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
$47,000 KL.
$47,000 KL.
May 31, 2026
$47,000 KL.
$47,000 KL.
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls show Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leading with roughly 44 percent support, followed by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia in the low twenties, leaving all candidates well below the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory on May 31. Colombia’s two-round system, unchanged since 1991, has produced runoffs in every contested presidential race since 1994 whenever the field remains divided. With just two weeks until voting, no late consolidation or surge has narrowed the gap enough to alter this pattern, reinforcing trader expectations that a June 21 runoff will be needed to determine the winner.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$47,000Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls show Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leading with roughly 44 percent support, followed by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia in the low twenties, leaving all candidates well below the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory on May 31. Colombia’s two-round system, unchanged since 1991, has produced runoffs in every contested presidential race since 1994 whenever the field remains divided. With just two weeks until voting, no late consolidation or surge has narrowed the gap enough to alter this pattern, reinforcing trader expectations that a June 21 runoff will be needed to determine the winner.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$47,000Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polls show Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leading with roughly 44 percent support, followed by Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia in the low twenties, leaving all candidates well below the 50 percent threshold required for an outright first-round victory on May 31. Colombia’s two-round system, unchanged since 1991, has produced runoffs in every contested presidential race since 1994 whenever the field remains divided. With just two weeks until voting, no late consolidation or surge has narrowed the gap enough to alter this pattern, reinforcing trader expectations that a June 21 runoff will be needed to determine the winner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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