Following the May 5 no-confidence vote that toppled Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition—sparked by PSD's alliance with far-right AUR—President Nicușor Dan is preparing consultations to nominate a new prime minister, potentially as soon as this week. PNL leadership voted overwhelmingly against rejoining PSD in government, while USR unanimously rejected a PSD-led majority, prioritizing reform coordination with PNL and UDMR. This deadlock in coalition negotiations, amid a fragmented parliament lacking a clear majority, fuels trader consensus on a tight race, with "Other" edging ahead at 38.5% amid speculation on minority governments like PSD-UDMR or PNL-USR-UDMR, or even a technocratic option; breakthroughs in talks or presidential designation could swiftly separate frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPSD + PNL + USR + UDMR 35%
PNL + UDMR 33.7%
PSD + PNL + USR 25%
PNL + USR + UDMR 16%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
PSD
30%
PNL
34%
USR
1%
UDMR
4%
AUR
8%
PSD + PNL
18%
PSD + USR
3%
PSD + UDMR
38%
PSD + AUR
37%
PNL + USR
4%
PNL + UDMR
34%
PNL + AUR
8%
USR + UDMR
2%
USR + AUR
1%
UDMR + AUR
1%
PSD + PNL + USR
25%
PSD + PNL + UDMR
25%
PSD + PNL + AUR
1%
PSD + USR + UDMR
3%
PSD + USR + AUR
1%
PSD + UDMR + AUR
1%
PNL + USR + UDMR
16%
PNL + USR + AUR
1%
PNL + UDMR + AUR
3%
USR + UDMR + AUR
1%
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR
35%
PSD + PNL + USR + AUR
4%
PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR
1%
PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR
1%
PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR
1%
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR
3%
Other
36%
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR 35%
PNL + UDMR 33.7%
PSD + PNL + USR 25%
PNL + USR + UDMR 16%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
PSD
$30 KL.
30%
PNL
$101 KL.
34%
USR
$785 KL.
1%
UDMR
$580 KL.
4%
AUR
$30 KL.
8%
PSD + PNL
$118 KL.
18%
PSD + USR
$456 KL.
3%
PSD + UDMR
$36 KL.
38%
PSD + AUR
$122 KL.
37%
PNL + USR
$51 KL.
4%
PNL + UDMR
$67 KL.
34%
PNL + AUR
$155 KL.
8%
USR + UDMR
$250 KL.
2%
USR + AUR
$640 KL.
1%
UDMR + AUR
$330 KL.
1%
PSD + PNL + USR
$30 KL.
25%
PSD + PNL + UDMR
$65 KL.
25%
PSD + PNL + AUR
$84 KL.
1%
PSD + USR + UDMR
$305 KL.
3%
PSD + USR + AUR
$297 KL.
1%
PSD + UDMR + AUR
$369 KL.
1%
PNL + USR + UDMR
$230 KL.
16%
PNL + USR + AUR
$298 KL.
1%
PNL + UDMR + AUR
$154 KL.
3%
USR + UDMR + AUR
$260 KL.
1%
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR
$30 KL.
35%
PSD + PNL + USR + AUR
$319 KL.
4%
PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR
$336 KL.
1%
PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR
$361 KL.
1%
PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR
$319 KL.
1%
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR
$356 KL.
3%
Other
$50 KL.
36%
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.
A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.Following the May 5 no-confidence vote that toppled Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition—sparked by PSD's alliance with far-right AUR—President Nicușor Dan is preparing consultations to nominate a new prime minister, potentially as soon as this week. PNL leadership voted overwhelmingly against rejoining PSD in government, while USR unanimously rejected a PSD-led majority, prioritizing reform coordination with PNL and UDMR. This deadlock in coalition negotiations, amid a fragmented parliament lacking a clear majority, fuels trader consensus on a tight race, with "Other" edging ahead at 38.5% amid speculation on minority governments like PSD-UDMR or PNL-USR-UDMR, or even a technocratic option; breakthroughs in talks or presidential designation could swiftly separate frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.
A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,612Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.
A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.Following the May 5 no-confidence vote that toppled Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition—sparked by PSD's alliance with far-right AUR—President Nicușor Dan is preparing consultations to nominate a new prime minister, potentially as soon as this week. PNL leadership voted overwhelmingly against rejoining PSD in government, while USR unanimously rejected a PSD-led majority, prioritizing reform coordination with PNL and UDMR. This deadlock in coalition negotiations, amid a fragmented parliament lacking a clear majority, fuels trader consensus on a tight race, with "Other" edging ahead at 38.5% amid speculation on minority governments like PSD-UDMR or PNL-USR-UDMR, or even a technocratic option; breakthroughs in talks or presidential designation could swiftly separate frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.
A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
Khối lượng
$7,612Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the May 5 no-confidence vote that toppled Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-European coalition—sparked by PSD's alliance with far-right AUR—President Nicușor Dan is preparing consultations to nominate a new prime minister, potentially as soon as this week. PNL leadership voted overwhelmingly against rejoining PSD in government, while USR unanimously rejected a PSD-led majority, prioritizing reform coordination with PNL and UDMR. This deadlock in coalition negotiations, amid a fragmented parliament lacking a clear majority, fuels trader consensus on a tight race, with "Other" edging ahead at 38.5% amid speculation on minority governments like PSD-UDMR or PNL-USR-UDMR, or even a technocratic option; breakthroughs in talks or presidential designation could swiftly separate frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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