Recent polling for the August 18 Florida 7th congressional district Republican primary shows incumbent Cory Mills leading challenger Ryan Elijah by single digits among likely voters, with substantial undecideds and negative views of the incumbent. Governor Ron DeSantis's public statement withholding support for Mills, combined with Trump’s endorsement of the sitting representative and scattered backing for Elijah from other Florida Republicans, has kept the race competitive. Multiple candidates on the ballot increase the chance of vote fragmentation, which could produce wider or narrower victory margins than head-to-head surveys suggest. Trader pricing on various Mills and Elijah margin bands alongside a leading “Other” outcome reflects uncertainty over turnout, late shifts, and how endorsements will translate into primary-day performance three days out.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtElijah 15–20% 39%
Mills 20–25% 39%
Mills 15–20% 39%
Mills 10–15% 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Mills 25%+
25%
Mills 20–25%
39%
Mills 15–20%
39%
Mills 10–15%
39%
Mills 5–10%
39%
Mills <5%
38%
Elijah <5%
25%
Elijah 5–10%
38%
Elijah 10–15%
38%
Elijah 15–20%
39%
Elijah 20–25%
39%
Elijah 25%+
37%
Elijah 15–20% 39%
Mills 20–25% 39%
Mills 15–20% 39%
Mills 10–15% 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Mills 25%+
$49 KL.
25%
Mills 20–25%
$0 KL.
39%
Mills 15–20%
$0 KL.
39%
Mills 10–15%
$0 KL.
39%
Mills 5–10%
$0 KL.
39%
Mills <5%
$0 KL.
38%
Elijah <5%
$0 KL.
25%
Elijah 5–10%
$0 KL.
38%
Elijah 10–15%
$0 KL.
38%
Elijah 15–20%
$0 KL.
39%
Elijah 20–25%
$0 KL.
39%
Elijah 25%+
$57 KL.
37%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling for the August 18 Florida 7th congressional district Republican primary shows incumbent Cory Mills leading challenger Ryan Elijah by single digits among likely voters, with substantial undecideds and negative views of the incumbent. Governor Ron DeSantis's public statement withholding support for Mills, combined with Trump’s endorsement of the sitting representative and scattered backing for Elijah from other Florida Republicans, has kept the race competitive. Multiple candidates on the ballot increase the chance of vote fragmentation, which could produce wider or narrower victory margins than head-to-head surveys suggest. Trader pricing on various Mills and Elijah margin bands alongside a leading “Other” outcome reflects uncertainty over turnout, late shifts, and how endorsements will translate into primary-day performance three days out.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$106Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling for the August 18 Florida 7th congressional district Republican primary shows incumbent Cory Mills leading challenger Ryan Elijah by single digits among likely voters, with substantial undecideds and negative views of the incumbent. Governor Ron DeSantis's public statement withholding support for Mills, combined with Trump’s endorsement of the sitting representative and scattered backing for Elijah from other Florida Republicans, has kept the race competitive. Multiple candidates on the ballot increase the chance of vote fragmentation, which could produce wider or narrower victory margins than head-to-head surveys suggest. Trader pricing on various Mills and Elijah margin bands alongside a leading “Other” outcome reflects uncertainty over turnout, late shifts, and how endorsements will translate into primary-day performance three days out.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$106Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the August 18 Florida 7th congressional district Republican primary shows incumbent Cory Mills leading challenger Ryan Elijah by single digits among likely voters, with substantial undecideds and negative views of the incumbent. Governor Ron DeSantis's public statement withholding support for Mills, combined with Trump’s endorsement of the sitting representative and scattered backing for Elijah from other Florida Republicans, has kept the race competitive. Multiple candidates on the ballot increase the chance of vote fragmentation, which could produce wider or narrower victory margins than head-to-head surveys suggest. Trader pricing on various Mills and Elijah margin bands alongside a leading “Other” outcome reflects uncertainty over turnout, late shifts, and how endorsements will translate into primary-day performance three days out.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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