Kyle Diamantas leads the market at 43% as the current acting FDA commissioner following Marty Makary’s May 2026 resignation, with reports highlighting his effective management of food policy priorities and growing internal support despite limited prior public health experience. Sara Brenner at 17% reflects her earlier acting commissioner role and deputy experience before shifting to HHS. Brett Giroir, Grace Graham, and Stephen Hahn trail as speculative alternatives amid the administration’s search for a permanent nominee aligned with drug approval reforms and food safety goals. The 12% probability of no announcement by December 31 accounts for Senate confirmation timelines and the deliberate pace of identifying candidates who can rebuild agency trust under HHS oversight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKyle Diamantas 36%
Brett Giroir 10.2%
Sara Brenner 7.5%
No announcement by December 31 5.2%
$13,643 KL.
$13,643 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kyle Diamantas
34%
Stephen Hahn
4%
Brett Giroir
12%
Grace Graham
4%
Sara Brenner
7%
No announcement by December 31
13%
Kyle Diamantas 36%
Brett Giroir 10.2%
Sara Brenner 7.5%
No announcement by December 31 5.2%
$13,643 KL.
$13,643 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kyle Diamantas
$2,940 KL.
34%
Stephen Hahn
$1,539 KL.
4%
Brett Giroir
$2,559 KL.
12%
Grace Graham
$3,778 KL.
4%
Sara Brenner
$2,198 KL.
7%
No announcement by December 31
$630 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Diamantas leads the market at 43% as the current acting FDA commissioner following Marty Makary’s May 2026 resignation, with reports highlighting his effective management of food policy priorities and growing internal support despite limited prior public health experience. Sara Brenner at 17% reflects her earlier acting commissioner role and deputy experience before shifting to HHS. Brett Giroir, Grace Graham, and Stephen Hahn trail as speculative alternatives amid the administration’s search for a permanent nominee aligned with drug approval reforms and food safety goals. The 12% probability of no announcement by December 31 accounts for Senate confirmation timelines and the deliberate pace of identifying candidates who can rebuild agency trust under HHS oversight.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,643Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Diamantas leads the market at 43% as the current acting FDA commissioner following Marty Makary’s May 2026 resignation, with reports highlighting his effective management of food policy priorities and growing internal support despite limited prior public health experience. Sara Brenner at 17% reflects her earlier acting commissioner role and deputy experience before shifting to HHS. Brett Giroir, Grace Graham, and Stephen Hahn trail as speculative alternatives amid the administration’s search for a permanent nominee aligned with drug approval reforms and food safety goals. The 12% probability of no announcement by December 31 accounts for Senate confirmation timelines and the deliberate pace of identifying candidates who can rebuild agency trust under HHS oversight.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$13,643Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Diamantas leads the market at 43% as the current acting FDA commissioner following Marty Makary’s May 2026 resignation, with reports highlighting his effective management of food policy priorities and growing internal support despite limited prior public health experience. Sara Brenner at 17% reflects her earlier acting commissioner role and deputy experience before shifting to HHS. Brett Giroir, Grace Graham, and Stephen Hahn trail as speculative alternatives amid the administration’s search for a permanent nominee aligned with drug approval reforms and food safety goals. The 12% probability of no announcement by December 31 accounts for Senate confirmation timelines and the deliberate pace of identifying candidates who can rebuild agency trust under HHS oversight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp