Recent trading activity on this three-day window reflects Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 18–22 tweets daily, driven by ongoing commentary on xAI model upgrades, Tesla FSD releases, and platform developments. With no major travel, legal proceedings, or product launches scheduled for May 18–20, market participants view the 40–64 range as the most probable outcome, consistent with his verified pace through mid-May. Brief spikes from viral threads or quick replies remain possible, yet sustained lower volume during routine workdays or quiet periods could pull totals toward the lower end of that bucket.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 44%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 9%
MỚI
$18,844 KL.
MỚI
$18,844 KL.
May 20, 2026
<40
16%
40-64
44%
65-89
28%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 44%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 9%
MỚI
$18,844 KL.
MỚI
$18,844 KL.
May 20, 2026
<40
$508 KL.
16%
40-64
$1,852 KL.
44%
65-89
$1,067 KL.
28%
90-114
$4,334 KL.
9%
115-139
$1,077 KL.
3%
140-164
$1,252 KL.
<1%
165-189
$1,666 KL.
<1%
190-214
$2,420 KL.
<1%
215-239
$2,335 KL.
<1%
240+
$2,384 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent trading activity on this three-day window reflects Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 18–22 tweets daily, driven by ongoing commentary on xAI model upgrades, Tesla FSD releases, and platform developments. With no major travel, legal proceedings, or product launches scheduled for May 18–20, market participants view the 40–64 range as the most probable outcome, consistent with his verified pace through mid-May. Brief spikes from viral threads or quick replies remain possible, yet sustained lower volume during routine workdays or quiet periods could pull totals toward the lower end of that bucket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,844Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent trading activity on this three-day window reflects Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 18–22 tweets daily, driven by ongoing commentary on xAI model upgrades, Tesla FSD releases, and platform developments. With no major travel, legal proceedings, or product launches scheduled for May 18–20, market participants view the 40–64 range as the most probable outcome, consistent with his verified pace through mid-May. Brief spikes from viral threads or quick replies remain possible, yet sustained lower volume during routine workdays or quiet periods could pull totals toward the lower end of that bucket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$18,844Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskRecent trading activity on this three-day window reflects Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 18–22 tweets daily, driven by ongoing commentary on xAI model upgrades, Tesla FSD releases, and platform developments. With no major travel, legal proceedings, or product launches scheduled for May 18–20, market participants view the 40–64 range as the most probable outcome, consistent with his verified pace through mid-May. Brief spikes from viral threads or quick replies remain possible, yet sustained lower volume during routine workdays or quiet periods could pull totals toward the lower end of that bucket.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp