Traders are anchoring on Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting rhythm on X as the main driver behind the current odds, with the 880-919 range holding the clearest edge at 13.3 percent. Early May activity has shown no meaningful slowdown, as Musk continues blending company updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions that keep daily output elevated. Market participants appear to be weighting historical monthly totals from similarly active periods, where totals routinely land in the mid-to-high 800s when no external factors curb engagement. With roughly half the month remaining, any sustained spike in news flow or product announcements could push totals toward the upper brackets, while a quieter stretch would favor the tighter 800-839 or 920-959 buckets that sit just behind.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật880-919 13.3%
800-839 11.9%
920-959 11.2%
840-879 10.0%
$2,857,537 KL.
$2,857,537 KL.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
2%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
3%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
12%
840-879
10%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
880-919 13.3%
800-839 11.9%
920-959 11.2%
840-879 10.0%
$2,857,537 KL.
$2,857,537 KL.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
2%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
3%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
12%
840-879
10%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are anchoring on Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting rhythm on X as the main driver behind the current odds, with the 880-919 range holding the clearest edge at 13.3 percent. Early May activity has shown no meaningful slowdown, as Musk continues blending company updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions that keep daily output elevated. Market participants appear to be weighting historical monthly totals from similarly active periods, where totals routinely land in the mid-to-high 800s when no external factors curb engagement. With roughly half the month remaining, any sustained spike in news flow or product announcements could push totals toward the upper brackets, while a quieter stretch would favor the tighter 800-839 or 920-959 buckets that sit just behind.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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