The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including historical sightings, infrared videos, and photos of anomalous objects—marked the Trump administration's first tranche under a February executive directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, hosted on war.gov/ufo for rolling updates. This fulfilled campaign pledges for transparency amid congressional pressure but disappointed traders betting on faster disclosure, pricing May 15 at just 10% as interagency reviews by CIA and DIA reportedly delay further batches, per whistleblower claims like David Grusch's. May 31 trades at 44%, reflecting bureaucracy risks, while December 31 odds at 91% capture consensus for eventual additional declassifications before year-end, absent major legal or security holds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$23,853 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
May 15
12%
May 31
44%
December 31
93%
$23,853 KL.
May 15
$11,254 KL.
12%
May 31
$9,882 KL.
44%
December 31
$2,717 KL.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including historical sightings, infrared videos, and photos of anomalous objects—marked the Trump administration's first tranche under a February executive directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, hosted on war.gov/ufo for rolling updates. This fulfilled campaign pledges for transparency amid congressional pressure but disappointed traders betting on faster disclosure, pricing May 15 at just 10% as interagency reviews by CIA and DIA reportedly delay further batches, per whistleblower claims like David Grusch's. May 31 trades at 44%, reflecting bureaucracy risks, while December 31 odds at 91% capture consensus for eventual additional declassifications before year-end, absent major legal or security holds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,853Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including historical sightings, infrared videos, and photos of anomalous objects—marked the Trump administration's first tranche under a February executive directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, hosted on war.gov/ufo for rolling updates. This fulfilled campaign pledges for transparency amid congressional pressure but disappointed traders betting on faster disclosure, pricing May 15 at just 10% as interagency reviews by CIA and DIA reportedly delay further batches, per whistleblower claims like David Grusch's. May 31 trades at 44%, reflecting bureaucracy risks, while December 31 odds at 91% capture consensus for eventual additional declassifications before year-end, absent major legal or security holds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$23,853Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Pentagon's May 8 release of over 160 declassified UAP files—including historical sightings, infrared videos, and photos of anomalous objects—marked the Trump administration's first tranche under a February executive directive to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, hosted on war.gov/ufo for rolling updates. This fulfilled campaign pledges for transparency amid congressional pressure but disappointed traders betting on faster disclosure, pricing May 15 at just 10% as interagency reviews by CIA and DIA reportedly delay further batches, per whistleblower claims like David Grusch's. May 31 trades at 44%, reflecting bureaucracy risks, while December 31 odds at 91% capture consensus for eventual additional declassifications before year-end, absent major legal or security holds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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