Trump's Truth Social posting volume has shown consistent patterns tied to political developments, with elevated activity during periods of high-profile news or policy announcements. Traders currently assign the highest probability to the 200+ posts outcome for the May 15-22 window, reflecting expectations of sustained daily engagement amid the ongoing political calendar. The clustering of implied probabilities across the 160-199 range underscores uncertainty about precise daily rates, as posting can accelerate with breaking events or slow during quieter stretches. Historical precedent from similar periods indicates that external catalysts like legislative activity or public statements often drive short-term spikes, supporting the current trader consensus on elevated totals through the resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
200+ 55%
160-179 22%
120-139 17%
180-199 13.4%
$16,390 KL.
$16,390 KL.
May 22, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
9%
120-139
17%
140-159
13%
160-179
22%
180-199
13%
200+
48%
200+ 55%
160-179 22%
120-139 17%
180-199 13.4%
$16,390 KL.
$16,390 KL.
May 22, 2026
40-59
$1,910 KL.
<1%
60-79
$427 KL.
<1%
80-99
$2,321 KL.
1%
100-119
$527 KL.
9%
120-139
$434 KL.
17%
140-159
$367 KL.
13%
160-179
$274 KL.
22%
180-199
$487 KL.
13%
200+
$677 KL.
48%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social posting volume has shown consistent patterns tied to political developments, with elevated activity during periods of high-profile news or policy announcements. Traders currently assign the highest probability to the 200+ posts outcome for the May 15-22 window, reflecting expectations of sustained daily engagement amid the ongoing political calendar. The clustering of implied probabilities across the 160-199 range underscores uncertainty about precise daily rates, as posting can accelerate with breaking events or slow during quieter stretches. Historical precedent from similar periods indicates that external catalysts like legislative activity or public statements often drive short-term spikes, supporting the current trader consensus on elevated totals through the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,390Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social posting volume has shown consistent patterns tied to political developments, with elevated activity during periods of high-profile news or policy announcements. Traders currently assign the highest probability to the 200+ posts outcome for the May 15-22 window, reflecting expectations of sustained daily engagement amid the ongoing political calendar. The clustering of implied probabilities across the 160-199 range underscores uncertainty about precise daily rates, as posting can accelerate with breaking events or slow during quieter stretches. Historical precedent from similar periods indicates that external catalysts like legislative activity or public statements often drive short-term spikes, supporting the current trader consensus on elevated totals through the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$16,390Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trump's Truth Social posting volume has shown consistent patterns tied to political developments, with elevated activity during periods of high-profile news or policy announcements. Traders currently assign the highest probability to the 200+ posts outcome for the May 15-22 window, reflecting expectations of sustained daily engagement amid the ongoing political calendar. The clustering of implied probabilities across the 160-199 range underscores uncertainty about precise daily rates, as posting can accelerate with breaking events or slow during quieter stretches. Historical precedent from similar periods indicates that external catalysts like legislative activity or public statements often drive short-term spikes, supporting the current trader consensus on elevated totals through the resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp