Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from early June showing figures clustered near 37-40 percent amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Traders see limited near-term movement before June 12 because no major new policy announcements, diplomatic breakthroughs, or economic data releases have shifted sentiment sharply in the past week. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living trends continues to anchor ratings at these levels, while the absence of offsetting positive developments keeps the two leading outcome ranges closely matched and sensitive to any last-minute polling fluctuations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 44%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 12, 2026
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
56%
39.0–39.4
13%
39.5–39.9
3%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 44%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 12, 2026
<38.0
$980 KL.
3%
38.0–38.4
$1,182 KL.
44%
38.5–38.9
$856 KL.
56%
39.0–39.4
$1,350 KL.
13%
39.5–39.9
$945 KL.
3%
40.0+
$756 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from early June showing figures clustered near 37-40 percent amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Traders see limited near-term movement before June 12 because no major new policy announcements, diplomatic breakthroughs, or economic data releases have shifted sentiment sharply in the past week. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living trends continues to anchor ratings at these levels, while the absence of offsetting positive developments keeps the two leading outcome ranges closely matched and sensitive to any last-minute polling fluctuations.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,070Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from early June showing figures clustered near 37-40 percent amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Traders see limited near-term movement before June 12 because no major new policy announcements, diplomatic breakthroughs, or economic data releases have shifted sentiment sharply in the past week. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living trends continues to anchor ratings at these levels, while the absence of offsetting positive developments keeps the two leading outcome ranges closely matched and sensitive to any last-minute polling fluctuations.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$6,070Ngày kết thúc
Jun 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from early June showing figures clustered near 37-40 percent amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Traders see limited near-term movement before June 12 because no major new policy announcements, diplomatic breakthroughs, or economic data releases have shifted sentiment sharply in the past week. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living trends continues to anchor ratings at these levels, while the absence of offsetting positive developments keeps the two leading outcome ranges closely matched and sensitive to any last-minute polling fluctuations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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