Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 94.2% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by firm EU and German policy barriers amid ongoing sanctions prohibiting transactions with the damaged infrastructure. The Danish Energy Agency's January 2026 decision to halt Nord Stream 2 preservation work due to sanctions and insurer pullouts, coupled with German officials' May 2026 pledge to block any revival and Chancellor Merz's explicit rejection, underscores no repair momentum despite earlier 2025 speculation. Europe's REPowerEU strategy commits to ending all Russian fossil fuel imports by 2027 via LNG diversification from Norway and the US, rendering reactivation geopolitically untenable absent a major Ukraine peace deal lifting restrictions—scenarios traders deem improbable given sabotage probes and bilateral tensions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$10,541 KL.
$10,541 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,541 KL.
$10,541 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 94.2% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by firm EU and German policy barriers amid ongoing sanctions prohibiting transactions with the damaged infrastructure. The Danish Energy Agency's January 2026 decision to halt Nord Stream 2 preservation work due to sanctions and insurer pullouts, coupled with German officials' May 2026 pledge to block any revival and Chancellor Merz's explicit rejection, underscores no repair momentum despite earlier 2025 speculation. Europe's REPowerEU strategy commits to ending all Russian fossil fuel imports by 2027 via LNG diversification from Norway and the US, rendering reactivation geopolitically untenable absent a major Ukraine peace deal lifting restrictions—scenarios traders deem improbable given sabotage probes and bilateral tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,541Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 94.2% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by firm EU and German policy barriers amid ongoing sanctions prohibiting transactions with the damaged infrastructure. The Danish Energy Agency's January 2026 decision to halt Nord Stream 2 preservation work due to sanctions and insurer pullouts, coupled with German officials' May 2026 pledge to block any revival and Chancellor Merz's explicit rejection, underscores no repair momentum despite earlier 2025 speculation. Europe's REPowerEU strategy commits to ending all Russian fossil fuel imports by 2027 via LNG diversification from Norway and the US, rendering reactivation geopolitically untenable absent a major Ukraine peace deal lifting restrictions—scenarios traders deem improbable given sabotage probes and bilateral tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$10,541Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 94.2% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by firm EU and German policy barriers amid ongoing sanctions prohibiting transactions with the damaged infrastructure. The Danish Energy Agency's January 2026 decision to halt Nord Stream 2 preservation work due to sanctions and insurer pullouts, coupled with German officials' May 2026 pledge to block any revival and Chancellor Merz's explicit rejection, underscores no repair momentum despite earlier 2025 speculation. Europe's REPowerEU strategy commits to ending all Russian fossil fuel imports by 2027 via LNG diversification from Norway and the US, rendering reactivation geopolitically untenable absent a major Ukraine peace deal lifting restrictions—scenarios traders deem improbable given sabotage probes and bilateral tensions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp