US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after hard-liners in Tehran undermined the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, prompting renewed tensions, shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and US strikes. President Trump has repeatedly signaled openness to a direct meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as part of broader negotiations, citing the cleric’s reported role in approving talks and expressing personal interest in engagement. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and military advisor Mohsen Rezaei, have dismissed any such summit as unrealistic or impossible, while Khamenei himself has stayed largely out of public view amid questions over his health and authority. Traders weigh these rejections and the breakdown of the ceasefire framework against Trump’s pattern of seeking high-level personal diplomacy with adversaries. No scheduled bilateral events or breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks to shift the low implied probability of a meeting occurring soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$191,213 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
2%
$191,213 KL.
December 31
$55,476 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after hard-liners in Tehran undermined the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, prompting renewed tensions, shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and US strikes. President Trump has repeatedly signaled openness to a direct meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as part of broader negotiations, citing the cleric’s reported role in approving talks and expressing personal interest in engagement. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and military advisor Mohsen Rezaei, have dismissed any such summit as unrealistic or impossible, while Khamenei himself has stayed largely out of public view amid questions over his health and authority. Traders weigh these rejections and the breakdown of the ceasefire framework against Trump’s pattern of seeking high-level personal diplomacy with adversaries. No scheduled bilateral events or breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks to shift the low implied probability of a meeting occurring soon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$191,213Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after hard-liners in Tehran undermined the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, prompting renewed tensions, shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and US strikes. President Trump has repeatedly signaled openness to a direct meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as part of broader negotiations, citing the cleric’s reported role in approving talks and expressing personal interest in engagement. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and military advisor Mohsen Rezaei, have dismissed any such summit as unrealistic or impossible, while Khamenei himself has stayed largely out of public view amid questions over his health and authority. Traders weigh these rejections and the breakdown of the ceasefire framework against Trump’s pattern of seeking high-level personal diplomacy with adversaries. No scheduled bilateral events or breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks to shift the low implied probability of a meeting occurring soon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$191,213Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after hard-liners in Tehran undermined the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, prompting renewed tensions, shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and US strikes. President Trump has repeatedly signaled openness to a direct meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as part of broader negotiations, citing the cleric’s reported role in approving talks and expressing personal interest in engagement. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and military advisor Mohsen Rezaei, have dismissed any such summit as unrealistic or impossible, while Khamenei himself has stayed largely out of public view amid questions over his health and authority. Traders weigh these rejections and the breakdown of the ceasefire framework against Trump’s pattern of seeking high-level personal diplomacy with adversaries. No scheduled bilateral events or breakthroughs have emerged in recent weeks to shift the low implied probability of a meeting occurring soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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