Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks remain stalled over Tehran's insistence on preserving uranium enrichment rights and Washington's demands for a long-term halt or full stockpile transfer, with recent Iranian proposals rejected as unacceptable by President Trump in mid-May 2026. Iranian officials have signaled openness to temporary limits around 3.5 percent or phased reductions but continue to threaten higher enrichment levels amid ceasefire strains, while mediators from Oman and Pakistan have not bridged core gaps on verification or timelines. These persistent disputes, including Iran's delayed responses and internal regime divisions, underpin trader consensus that a public agreement to end all enrichment by the June 30 deadline is unlikely, reflecting historical patterns of protracted negotiations without rapid concessions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran đồng ý chấm dứt làm giàu uranium trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Có
$1,381,106 KL.
$1,381,106 KL.
Có
$1,381,106 KL.
$1,381,106 KL.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks remain stalled over Tehran's insistence on preserving uranium enrichment rights and Washington's demands for a long-term halt or full stockpile transfer, with recent Iranian proposals rejected as unacceptable by President Trump in mid-May 2026. Iranian officials have signaled openness to temporary limits around 3.5 percent or phased reductions but continue to threaten higher enrichment levels amid ceasefire strains, while mediators from Oman and Pakistan have not bridged core gaps on verification or timelines. These persistent disputes, including Iran's delayed responses and internal regime divisions, underpin trader consensus that a public agreement to end all enrichment by the June 30 deadline is unlikely, reflecting historical patterns of protracted negotiations without rapid concessions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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