Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have not yielded any public agreement for Iran to end uranium enrichment by May 31, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrich under IAEA supervision while rejecting full cessation or stockpile transfers abroad. Recent talks in Geneva and Islamabad produced Iranian offers to dilute highly enriched material in-country and accept verification measures, yet these fall short of US demands for a multi-year moratorium or program halt. Iranian officials have reiterated opposition to zero-enrichment terms, leaving core differences unresolved days before the deadline. This diplomatic impasse, with no joint statement or unilateral pledge confirming an end to enrichment, underpins trader consensus on the low likelihood of resolution by May 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$615,199 KL.
$615,199 KL.
May 31, 2026
$615,199 KL.
$615,199 KL.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have not yielded any public agreement for Iran to end uranium enrichment by May 31, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrich under IAEA supervision while rejecting full cessation or stockpile transfers abroad. Recent talks in Geneva and Islamabad produced Iranian offers to dilute highly enriched material in-country and accept verification measures, yet these fall short of US demands for a multi-year moratorium or program halt. Iranian officials have reiterated opposition to zero-enrichment terms, leaving core differences unresolved days before the deadline. This diplomatic impasse, with no joint statement or unilateral pledge confirming an end to enrichment, underpins trader consensus on the low likelihood of resolution by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$615,199Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have not yielded any public agreement for Iran to end uranium enrichment by May 31, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrich under IAEA supervision while rejecting full cessation or stockpile transfers abroad. Recent talks in Geneva and Islamabad produced Iranian offers to dilute highly enriched material in-country and accept verification measures, yet these fall short of US demands for a multi-year moratorium or program halt. Iranian officials have reiterated opposition to zero-enrichment terms, leaving core differences unresolved days before the deadline. This diplomatic impasse, with no joint statement or unilateral pledge confirming an end to enrichment, underpins trader consensus on the low likelihood of resolution by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$615,199Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have not yielded any public agreement for Iran to end uranium enrichment by May 31, as Tehran continues to assert its right to enrich under IAEA supervision while rejecting full cessation or stockpile transfers abroad. Recent talks in Geneva and Islamabad produced Iranian offers to dilute highly enriched material in-country and accept verification measures, yet these fall short of US demands for a multi-year moratorium or program halt. Iranian officials have reiterated opposition to zero-enrichment terms, leaving core differences unresolved days before the deadline. This diplomatic impasse, with no joint statement or unilateral pledge confirming an end to enrichment, underpins trader consensus on the low likelihood of resolution by May 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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