Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$609,542 KL.
$609,542 KL.
May 31, 2026
$609,542 KL.
$609,542 KL.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$609,542Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$609,542Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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