Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in US-Iran negotiations to end hostilities, signaling potential for further diplomatic engagement despite no ceasefire agreement from his April leadership of 21-hour talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. There, the US delegation, including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, pressed Iran on nuclear restrictions and proxy force withdrawals, but Tehran rejected key terms, citing unmet trust-building demands. Amid ongoing Middle East tensions, including Israeli actions in Lebanon, traders weigh the likelihood of additional Vance-led meetings before the market's resolution date, with historical patterns of indirect talks via neutral hosts like Pakistan influencing sentiment on direct bilateral diplomacy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$104,813 KL.
May 15, 2026
May 15
<1%
May 31
12%
June 30
30%
$104,813 KL.
May 15
$51,799 KL.
<1%
May 31
$46,049 KL.
12%
June 30
$6,965 KL.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in US-Iran negotiations to end hostilities, signaling potential for further diplomatic engagement despite no ceasefire agreement from his April leadership of 21-hour talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. There, the US delegation, including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, pressed Iran on nuclear restrictions and proxy force withdrawals, but Tehran rejected key terms, citing unmet trust-building demands. Amid ongoing Middle East tensions, including Israeli actions in Lebanon, traders weigh the likelihood of additional Vance-led meetings before the market's resolution date, with historical patterns of indirect talks via neutral hosts like Pakistan influencing sentiment on direct bilateral diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$104,813Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in US-Iran negotiations to end hostilities, signaling potential for further diplomatic engagement despite no ceasefire agreement from his April leadership of 21-hour talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. There, the US delegation, including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, pressed Iran on nuclear restrictions and proxy force withdrawals, but Tehran rejected key terms, citing unmet trust-building demands. Amid ongoing Middle East tensions, including Israeli actions in Lebanon, traders weigh the likelihood of additional Vance-led meetings before the market's resolution date, with historical patterns of indirect talks via neutral hosts like Pakistan influencing sentiment on direct bilateral diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$104,813Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that progress is being made in US-Iran negotiations to end hostilities, signaling potential for further diplomatic engagement despite no ceasefire agreement from his April leadership of 21-hour talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. There, the US delegation, including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, pressed Iran on nuclear restrictions and proxy force withdrawals, but Tehran rejected key terms, citing unmet trust-building demands. Amid ongoing Middle East tensions, including Israeli actions in Lebanon, traders weigh the likelihood of additional Vance-led meetings before the market's resolution date, with historical patterns of indirect talks via neutral hosts like Pakistan influencing sentiment on direct bilateral diplomacy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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