Recent diplomatic calm following Argentina’s April expulsion of Iran’s chargé d’affaires and earlier U.S. actions against Iranian personnel at the United Nations has produced the current trader consensus favoring no additional expulsions by June 30. No verified formal orders declaring Iranian diplomats persona non grata have emerged in the past six weeks amid ongoing de-escalation discussions between Washington and Tehran, including talks on the Strait of Hormuz. Prior March measures by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Lebanon have not triggered immediate retaliatory cycles, and official statements from multiple governments show no active plans for new steps before the deadline. Any late-breaking sanctions dispute or regional incident could still alter the outlook within the remaining resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic calm following Argentina’s April expulsion of Iran’s chargé d’affaires and earlier U.S. actions against Iranian personnel at the United Nations has produced the current trader consensus favoring no additional expulsions by June 30. No verified formal orders declaring Iranian diplomats persona non grata have emerged in the past six weeks amid ongoing de-escalation discussions between Washington and Tehran, including talks on the Strait of Hormuz. Prior March measures by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Lebanon have not triggered immediate retaliatory cycles, and official statements from multiple governments show no active plans for new steps before the deadline. Any late-breaking sanctions dispute or regional incident could still alter the outlook within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,649Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic calm following Argentina’s April expulsion of Iran’s chargé d’affaires and earlier U.S. actions against Iranian personnel at the United Nations has produced the current trader consensus favoring no additional expulsions by June 30. No verified formal orders declaring Iranian diplomats persona non grata have emerged in the past six weeks amid ongoing de-escalation discussions between Washington and Tehran, including talks on the Strait of Hormuz. Prior March measures by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Lebanon have not triggered immediate retaliatory cycles, and official statements from multiple governments show no active plans for new steps before the deadline. Any late-breaking sanctions dispute or regional incident could still alter the outlook within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$7,649Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic calm following Argentina’s April expulsion of Iran’s chargé d’affaires and earlier U.S. actions against Iranian personnel at the United Nations has produced the current trader consensus favoring no additional expulsions by June 30. No verified formal orders declaring Iranian diplomats persona non grata have emerged in the past six weeks amid ongoing de-escalation discussions between Washington and Tehran, including talks on the Strait of Hormuz. Prior March measures by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Lebanon have not triggered immediate retaliatory cycles, and official statements from multiple governments show no active plans for new steps before the deadline. Any late-breaking sanctions dispute or regional incident could still alter the outlook within the remaining resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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