Recent diplomatic momentum centers on indirect U.S.-Iran talks mediated by Pakistan, following the April 2026 ceasefire and failed Islamabad round involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. As of mid-May 2026, Araghchi publicly questioned U.S. seriousness over nuclear issues while Iran prioritizes regional channels, including Oman-mediated proposals on the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi explorations of a post-conflict non-aggression pact. President Trump’s recent Beijing summit with Xi Jinping highlighted coordinated pressure on Tehran, yet no new high-level meeting date has been confirmed before May 31. Traders focus on whether U.S. envoys, Pakistani officials, or other intermediaries secure a qualifying session amid ongoing nuclear and sanctions sticking points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$81,737 KL.
May 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
21%
Steve Witkoff
21%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
3%
$81,737 KL.
Jared Kushner
$22,710 KL.
21%
Steve Witkoff
$20,019 KL.
21%
J.D. Vance
$23,931 KL.
11%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 KL.
5%
Donald Trump
$9,397 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on indirect U.S.-Iran talks mediated by Pakistan, following the April 2026 ceasefire and failed Islamabad round involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. As of mid-May 2026, Araghchi publicly questioned U.S. seriousness over nuclear issues while Iran prioritizes regional channels, including Oman-mediated proposals on the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi explorations of a post-conflict non-aggression pact. President Trump’s recent Beijing summit with Xi Jinping highlighted coordinated pressure on Tehran, yet no new high-level meeting date has been confirmed before May 31. Traders focus on whether U.S. envoys, Pakistani officials, or other intermediaries secure a qualifying session amid ongoing nuclear and sanctions sticking points.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$81,737Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on indirect U.S.-Iran talks mediated by Pakistan, following the April 2026 ceasefire and failed Islamabad round involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. As of mid-May 2026, Araghchi publicly questioned U.S. seriousness over nuclear issues while Iran prioritizes regional channels, including Oman-mediated proposals on the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi explorations of a post-conflict non-aggression pact. President Trump’s recent Beijing summit with Xi Jinping highlighted coordinated pressure on Tehran, yet no new high-level meeting date has been confirmed before May 31. Traders focus on whether U.S. envoys, Pakistani officials, or other intermediaries secure a qualifying session amid ongoing nuclear and sanctions sticking points.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$81,737Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum centers on indirect U.S.-Iran talks mediated by Pakistan, following the April 2026 ceasefire and failed Islamabad round involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. As of mid-May 2026, Araghchi publicly questioned U.S. seriousness over nuclear issues while Iran prioritizes regional channels, including Oman-mediated proposals on the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi explorations of a post-conflict non-aggression pact. President Trump’s recent Beijing summit with Xi Jinping highlighted coordinated pressure on Tehran, yet no new high-level meeting date has been confirmed before May 31. Traders focus on whether U.S. envoys, Pakistani officials, or other intermediaries secure a qualifying session amid ongoing nuclear and sanctions sticking points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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